Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
2:2
23/01/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 14
  • Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
thailandThailandSPOTV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.611.19
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
102
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
74
Passes
87% (502/580)66% (174/265)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.611.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.821.21
Total shots
216
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
96
Shots outside the box
120
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3513
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1110
Passes
87% (502/580)66% (174/265)
Long passes
41% (16/39)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
74% (110/149)43% (27/63)
Crosses
36% (9/25)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.30
Throw ins
2719
Fouls
1011
Tackles
55% (11/20)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5552
Clearances
1435
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper saves
08
xGOT faced
1.212.82
Goals prevented
-0.790.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Randall J. ⚽, May G. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Lavale O. ⚽, Di Pizio M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 2 - 1, Cosgrove S. ⚽, De Vries F. (A),
  • 63', Di Pizio M. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
  • 63', Auglah A. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
  • 68', Donachie J. 🟨,
  • 75', Donnell C. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
  • 75', Herrington D. ↓, Paull N. ↑,
  • 82', May G. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
  • 84', Cosgrove S. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Lavale O. ⚽,
  • 90+2', Roux S. ↓, Kennedy W. ↑,
  • 90+4', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Elliot C. ↑,
  • 90+5', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, Francois M. ↑,
  • 90+6', Francois M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Theoharous C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Auckland FC
72.4%		Draw
17.2%		Central Coast Mariners
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 22.1% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 21.6% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland FC's performance.
  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Coast Mariners might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Coast Mariners could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.31 ↓
    (1.51)    		 5.48 ↑
    (4.18)    		 9.18 ↑
    (5.55)    		 5.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Auckland will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 53.8% – 96.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Auckland (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.25 - Auckland (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Auckland (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Auckland (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Auckland (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Auckland (1.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Auckland FC will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 18 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
    • Recent performances by Auckland have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Central Coast's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Auckland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Auckland is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Edmondson R. (Inactive) Paull N. (International duty) Peraic-Cullen D. (International duty) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Auckland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC 1:2
    16.03.2025 Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners 2:2
    28.12.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC 1:4
    Latest results of Auckland FC
    16.01.2026 Melbourne City - Auckland FC 2:1 ✺
    09.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC 0:2 ✺
    05.01.2026 Macarthur FC - Auckland FC 1:1 ✺
    31.12.2025 Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets 1:3 ✺
    19.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
    17.01.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC 1:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners 3:0 ✺
    04.01.2026 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 0:4 ✺
    31.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 3:1 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets22141746:331343
    2Auckland FC22116537:231439
    3Melbourne Victory22105738:281035
    4Adelaide United22105739:32735
    5Sydney FC22103929:23633
    6Macarthur FC2277828:36-828
    7Central Coast Mariners2176829:32-327
    8Wellington Phoenix2276933:41-827
    9Melbourne City2168722:28-626
    10Brisbane Roar22661022:29-724
    11Perth Glory22651125:35-1023
    12WS Wanderers22561126:34-821

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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