Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/01/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Spencer Park (Brisbane).

A-League Women - Round 15
Referee: Allum S. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.09	1.45
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	4
Big chances
3	4
Corner kicks
1	2
Passes
71% (281/394)	73% (286/391)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.09	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.50	1.41
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
3	4
Corner kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
21	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
15	13
Passes
71% (281/394)	73% (286/391)
Long passes
39% (29/75)	36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
52% (61/118)	57% (57/100)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.60
Throw ins
25	27
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
67% (14/21)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
43	38
Clearances
28	30
Interceptions
8	18
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.41	0.50
Goals prevented
-0.59	-1.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Miller A. ⚽, Jansen B. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Rasmussen A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', Baumann L. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
75', Prakash A. ↓, Quilligan T. ↑,
76', Miller A. ↓, Stephenson K. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
79', Woods A. 🟨,
80', Levin T. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
87', Medwin A. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
89', Martin A. 🟨,
90+1', Freier S. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
90+7', Gomez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Brisbane Roar
47.3%

Draw
24.5%

Central Coast Mariners
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26%

30.1%

Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.08)	3.75 ↑ (3.47)	3.27 ↑ (3)	8.7% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0, 1st Half - Brisbane Roar (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
Brisbane Roar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Central Coast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Brisbane Roar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Brisbane Roar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Central Coast Mariners?

Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Brisbane Roar?

Central Coast Mariners has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:

31.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 3:2

30.03.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 2:1

15.12.2024 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 2:1

09.03.2024 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 0:2

11.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:1

Latest results of Brisbane Roar

23.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Canberra United 3:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺

16.01.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar 1:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar 0:1 ✺

03.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Central Coast Mariners

24.01.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners 1:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 1:0 ✺

31.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 3:2 ✺

Australian A-League Women Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Melbourne City W	14	8	2	4	26:16	10	26
2	Wellington Phoenix W	13	7	3	3	27:10	17	24
3	Canberra W	14	7	3	4	22:16	6	24
4	Adelaide W	14	7	2	5	17:17	0	23
5	Brisbane Roar W	14	6	4	4	26:25	1	22
6	Melbourne Victory W	15	6	2	7	23:21	2	20
7	Central Coast Mariners W	14	5	4	5	22:21	1	19
8	Perth W	14	5	2	7	13:20	-7	17
9	Newcastle W	14	5	1	8	18:24	-6	16
10	WS Wanderers W	15	4	3	8	15:27	-12	15
11	Sydney W	15	2	6	7	10:22	-12	12

Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)