Result
2:2
30/01/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 15
- Referee: Allum S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (281/394) | 73% (286/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (281/394) | 73% (286/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (29/75) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (61/118) | 57% (57/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Miller A. ⚽, Jansen B. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Rasmussen A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', Baumann L. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
- 75', Prakash A. ↓, Quilligan T. ↑,
- 76', Miller A. ↓, Stephenson K. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
- 79', Woods A. 🟨,
- 80', Levin T. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
- 87', Medwin A. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
- 89', Martin A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Freier S. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
- 90+7', Gomez I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
47.3% | Draw
24.5% | Central Coast Mariners
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+2%)
Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.08) |
3.75 ↑
(3.47) |
3.27 ↑
(3) |
8.7%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0, 1st Half - Brisbane Roar (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- Brisbane Roar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Central Coast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Brisbane Roar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Brisbane Roar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Central Coast Mariners?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Brisbane Roar?
Central Coast Mariners has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
31.12.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
3:2
30.03.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
2:1
15.12.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Central Coast Mariners
2:1
09.03.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:2
11.11.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
