Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka
Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaQQ Sports
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
vietnamVietnamHTV Thể Thao, K+, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.81
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
88% (460/524)87% (528/607)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.61
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
88
Passes
88% (460/524)87% (528/607)
Long passes
36% (12/33)55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
80% (126/158)83% (165/198)
Crosses
20% (3/15)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.01
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
88
Tackles
89% (8/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.611.19
Goals prevented
0.61-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Sasaki A. 🟨,
  • 57', Kida H. , Nakajima M. ,
  • 57', Uejo S. , Kitano S. ,
  • 60', Ienaga A. , Ito T. ,
  • 61', Marcinho , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 66', Yamada S. , Erison ,
  • 80', Wakizaka Y. , Segawa Y. ,
  • 80', Kawahara S. , Tachibanada K. ,
  • 84', Rafael Ratao , Thiago Andrade ,
  • 84', Okuda H. , Sakata R. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Erison , Segawa Y. (A),
  • 87', Nishio R. , Shibayama M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Erison , Maruyama Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
51.6%
Draw
24.6%
Cerezo Osaka
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 24.8% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 24.4% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.79)
    3.8
    (3.82)
    3.89
    (4.23)
    6.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kawasaki is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury) Vitor Bueno (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Hamstring Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Injury) Kurumaya S. (Muscle Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Miura S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 1:1
    13.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0
    02.09.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 3:0
    18.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 0:0
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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