Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (273/341) | 88% (557/633) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (273/341) | 88% (557/633) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (70/113) | 79% (171/216) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
- 7', 2 - 0, Tanaka S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kawahara S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
- 46', Tanabe S. ↓, Uremovic F. ↑,
- 60', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
- 68', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 68', Ohata A. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 75', Ito T. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 78', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
- 79', Rafael Ratao ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 79', Uremovic F. 🟨,
- 89', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 89', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
37.1% | Draw
24.8% | Kawasaki Frontale
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.34) |
3.83 ↑
(3.71) |
2.52 ↓
(2.77) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
- Cerezo Osaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Kawasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Injury)
Hirano Y.
(Inactive)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Maruyama Y.
(Knee Injury)
Miura S.
(Injury)
Oshima R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Ohata A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Tanabe S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Cerezo Osaka?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
18.05.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:0
14.07.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
13.04.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kawasaki Frontale
1:0
02.09.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kawasaki Frontale
3:0
18.03.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Cerezo Osaka
0:0
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29:59 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
