Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.94
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
80% (273/341)88% (557/633)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.131.34
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3035
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
511
Passes
80% (273/341)88% (557/633)
Long passes
37% (17/46)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
62% (70/113)79% (171/216)
Crosses
13% (2/15)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.031.35
Throw-ins
1024
Fouls
115
Tackles
53% (8/15)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3745
Clearances
2922
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.342.13
Goals prevented
1.340.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ,
  • 7', 2 - 0, Tanaka S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kawahara S. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 46', Tanabe S. , Uremovic F. ,
  • 60', Marcinho , Ienaga A. ,
  • 68', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 68', Ohata A. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 75', Ito T. , Miyagi T. ,
  • 78', Erison , Romanic L. ,
  • 79', Rafael Ratao , Sakata R. ,
  • 79', Uremovic F. 🟨,
  • 89', Shibayama M. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 89', Kida H. , Yoshino K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
37.1%
Draw
24.8%
Kawasaki Frontale
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 25.5% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.6% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.34)
    3.83
    (3.71)
    2.52
    (2.77)
    5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
    • Cerezo Osaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kawasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Injury) Hirano Y. (Inactive) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Maruyama Y. (Knee Injury) Miura S. (Injury) Oshima R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Ohata A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Tanabe S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 2:0
    14.07.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 1:1
    13.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0
    02.09.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 3:0
    18.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 0:0
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe35188945:301562
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Avispa Fukuoka3511111333:37-444
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    14Verdy351191522:36-1442
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare35682129:59-3026
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 354112032:58-2623

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League