Defensa y Justicia vs Cerro Largo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo
Result
1:2
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Calderas E. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.82
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
83% (401/482)62% (132/213)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.01
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
83% (401/482)62% (132/213)
Long passes
49% (25/51)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
68% (102/151)51% (37/73)
Crosses
30% (7/23)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.36
Throw-ins
2413
Fouls
1515
Tackles
56% (5/9)71% (15/21)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
1644
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.011.91
Goals prevented
-0.990.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Gianoli M. 🟨,
  • 33', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
  • 42', Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Assis S. , Affonso M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Otormin L. , Affonso M. (A),
  • 53', Hernandez B. , Anasco M. ,
  • 55', Delgado R. , Barbona D. ,
  • 55', La Roza U. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 56', Larralde V. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 59', Soto A. 🟨,
  • 66', Gonzalez L. , Molinas A. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Barbona D. , Gonzalez F. (A),
  • 68', Otormin L. , Perez A. ,
  • 81', Affonso M. , Peraza F. ,
  • 81', Garcia A. , Piriz M. ,
  • 81', Bertocchi N. , Parada F. ,
  • 83', Rubio T. , Miranda M. ,
  • 90+4', Anasco M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
66.8%
Draw
21%
Cerro Largo
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 21% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 20.2% 10.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.38)
    4.46
    (4.45)
    7.78
    (8.54)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Defensa y Justicia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Cerro Largo - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2