Defensa y Justicia vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.03
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
82% (423/514)68% (178/261)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.24
Total shots
218
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
3715
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
85
Passes
82% (423/514)68% (178/261)
Long passes
62% (37/60)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
71% (134/189)62% (48/78)
Crosses
31% (11/35)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.36
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
58
Tackles
69% (9/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
2756
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.241.06
Goals prevented
0.240.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Cannavo E. , Osorio A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Jhon Chancellor , Diaz M. (A),
  • 61', Fajardo J. 🟨,
  • 66', Perez C. , Miranda M. ,
  • 66', Gonzalez F. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 68', Palacios B. , Londono A. ,
  • 76', Diaz M. , Troya R. ,
  • 77', Diaz I. , Romero Padilla D. A. ,
  • 77', Gutierrez K. , Sosa S. ,
  • 87', Osorio A. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez L. , Molinas A. ,
  • 89', Cannavo E. 🟨,
  • 89', Londono A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fajardo J. , Castillo Saa J. L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
54.2%
Draw
25.7%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 25.5% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 25.9% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.7)
    3.67
    (3.65)
    4.64
    (4.7)
    6.5%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Defensa y Justicia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Defensa y Justicia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Defensa y Justicia 3:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)