Result
1:2
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Calderas E. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (401/482) | 62% (132/213) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (401/482) | 62% (132/213) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (102/151) | 51% (37/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Gianoli M. 🟨,
- 33', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
- 42', Osorio A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Assis S. ⚽, Affonso M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Otormin L. ⚽, Affonso M. (A),
- 53', Hernandez B. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 55', Delgado R. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
- 55', La Roza U. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 56', Larralde V. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
- 59', Soto A. 🟨,
- 66', Gonzalez L. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Barbona D. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
- 68', Otormin L. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 81', Affonso M. ↓, Peraza F. ↑,
- 81', Garcia A. ↓, Piriz M. ↑,
- 81', Bertocchi N. ↓, Parada F. ↑,
- 83', Rubio T. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
- 90+4', Anasco M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia
66.8% | Draw
21% | Cerro Largo
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.38) |
4.46 ↑
(4.45) |
7.78 ↓
(8.54) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Defensa y Justicia is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Cerro Largo?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Defensa y Justicia?
Cerro Largo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Cerro Largo were as follows:
03.04.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
