Cerro Largo vs Racing Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
95
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Cheuquepal D. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Da Silva E. ,
  • 29', Cairus F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Di Pippa A. , Almeida E. ,
  • 46', Bonifazi F. , Gabriel Rossetto ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Brasil M. ,
  • 58', Anasco M. , Vazquez L. ,
  • 58', Brasil M. 🟨,
  • 62', Cheuquepal D. , Bosca J. ,
  • 62', Suarez F. , Espinosa Dovat T. N. ,
  • 64', Gabriel Rossetto 🟨,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ,
  • 76', Garcia M. , Parada F. ,
  • 76', Brasil M. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 83', Gonzalez F. , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 84', Assis S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Rossi F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Da Silva E. , Severo A. ,
  • 90+10', 2 - 2, Almeida E. ,

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
36.5%
Draw
30.4%
Racing Montevideo
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.1% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.2% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.
  • Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Largo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.2)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    2.85
    (3.25)
    6.9%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 0.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:1
    05.10.2024 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 0:0
    29.03.2024 Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo 0:2
    07.03.2024 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 2:0
    25.11.2023 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:0
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Latest results of Racing Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1182120:101026
    2Penarol1071217:8922
    3Maldonado1171319:12722
    4Central Esp1153316:13318
    5Albion1144314:12216
    6Defensor Sp114439:7216
    7Nacional1151516:15116
    8Montevideo City1143414:12215
    9Danubio1135314:15-114
    10Cerro Largo1142513:14-114
    11Wanderers1142512:17-514
    12Liverpool M1034313:13013
    13Boston River113269:13-411
    14CA Cerro112366:15-99
    15Juventud1121810:17-77
    16Progreso111469:18-97

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