Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo
Result
1:1
28/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
85
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ramirez S. , Cairus F. ,
  • 46', Vazquez A. , Pinela M. ,
  • 59', Bonifazi F. 🟨,
  • 61', Contrera J. , Mir M. ,
  • 61', Rossi F. , Otormin L. ,
  • 61', Peraza F. , Affonso M. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Otormin L. (Pen),
  • 71', Otormin L. 🟨,
  • 72', Tomatis B. , Fonseca M. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Caceres M. ,
  • 83', Brasil M. , Parada F. ,
  • 83', Assis S. , Perez A. ,
  • 87', Caceres M. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 87', Rodriguez L. , Bosca J. ,

Chances of winning


Racing Montevideo
21.9%
Draw
61.8%
Cerro Largo
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 26.9% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 26.5% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Montevideo's form might have worsened.
  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Largo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+22.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Largo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.94
    (2.12)
    1.9
    (3.45)
    6.68
    (3.17)
    -12.3%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.00
  • What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 3.
    • Racing is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Cerro Largo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cerro Largo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Racing have a series of guest games.
    • Racing will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Racing won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:15 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 0.8:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 0:0
    29.03.2024 Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo 0:2
    07.03.2024 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 2:0
    25.11.2023 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:0
    15.07.2023 Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo 2:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

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