Result
1:1
26/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Dudok R. ⚽,
- 24', Vazquez A. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
- 29', Brazionis 🟨,
- 30', Rivero J. 🟨,
- 34', Tomatis B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Paolini M. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 46', Rivero J. ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
- 46', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
- 49', Cotugno G. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, De Leon F. ⚽,
- 55', Cotugno G. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 55', Tomatis B. ↓, Da Silva S. ↑,
- 60', Paz A. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 61', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 63', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 69', Mehring A. 🟨,
- 71', Copelotti M. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
- 74', Martin M. 🟨,
- 76', Habib T. 🟨,
- 79', Habib T. ↓, Da Silva E. ↑,
- 82', Pinheiro A. 🟥,
- 88', Lopez N. ↓, Cardozo Coitinho S. ↑,
- 90', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 90+7', Cougo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
53.6% | Draw
27.4% | Progreso
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Progreso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Racing Montevideo - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.92) |
3.42 ↑
(3.3) |
4.76 ↑
(3.8) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Progreso?
Users Predictions:
Racing Montevideo will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
- Racing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Racing is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Racing won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 1.9:0.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Progreso?
Racing Montevideo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Racing Montevideo?
Progreso has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
29.09.2025
Racing Montevideo
-
Progreso
0:0
22.06.2025
Racing Montevideo
-
Progreso
3:0
30.03.2025
Progreso
-
Racing Montevideo
0:1
21.09.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Progreso
1:0
07.07.2024
Progreso
-
Racing Montevideo
3:2
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
