Result
1:0
20/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Vazquez L. 🟨,
- 11', Pandiani A. 🟨,
- 17', Vazquez L. ↓, Acosta J. ↑,
- 21', Rivero M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rivero M. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
- 49', Marcel S. 🟨,
- 58', Reyna G. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
- 84', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Hornos M. ↑,
- 84', Perez F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 89', Garcia M. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
- 89', Daguerre D. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
- 89', Pandiani A. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boston River
38.4% | Draw
31.1% | Cerro Largo
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Boston River - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.63) |
3.01 ↑
(2.98) |
3.1 ↑
(2.82) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boston River - Cerro Largo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston River: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Cerro Largo?
Boston River has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Boston River?
Cerro Largo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Cerro Largo were as follows:
11.10.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Boston River
2:2
13.04.2025
Boston River
-
Cerro Largo
1:0
02.11.2024
Boston River
-
Cerro Largo
3:0
17.06.2024
Boston River
-
Cerro Largo
0:2
27.04.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Boston River
2:0
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | Danubio | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
