Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Motta S. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Crespo E. ↓, Gissi D. ↑,
- 43', Perez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Escobar M. ↓, Correa T. ↑,
- 46', Perez A. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Rossi F. ⚽,
- 55', Rossi F. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
- 64', Lemos L. 🟨,
- 67', Almeida C. 🟨,
- 68', Assis S. 🟨,
- 71', Assis S. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 80', Jourdan E. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 83', Cuello E. 🟨,
- 86', Gianoli M. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 1, Pollero R. ⚽,
- 90+2', Anasco M. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 90+2', Brasil M. ↓, Ferrares B. ↑,
Chances of winning
River Plate Montevideo
31.4% | Draw
30.2% | Cerro Largo
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Largo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↓
(3.5) |
3.09 ↓
(3.25) |
2.45 ↑
(2) |
6.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
- River Plate has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cerro Largo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
River Plate Montevideo has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against River Plate Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
30.06.2025
Cerro Largo
-
River Plate Montevideo
2:2
18.04.2025
Cerro Largo
-
River Plate Montevideo
1:0
09.11.2024
Cerro Largo
-
River Plate Montevideo
1:0
05.05.2024
River Plate Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
2:3
19.08.2023
River Plate Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
Latest results of River Plate Montevideo
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Liverpool M | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
