River Plate Montevideo vs Cerro Largo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Motta S. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
910
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Crespo E. , Gissi D. ,
  • 43', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Escobar M. , Correa T. ,
  • 46', Perez A. , Garcia M. ,
  • 47', 0 - 1, Rossi F. ,
  • 55', Rossi F. , Perez I. ,
  • 64', Lemos L. 🟨,
  • 67', Almeida C. 🟨,
  • 68', Assis S. 🟨,
  • 71', Assis S. , Cuello E. ,
  • 80', Jourdan E. , Lopez I. ,
  • 83', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 86', Gianoli M. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Pollero R. ,
  • 90+2', Anasco M. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 90+2', Brasil M. , Ferrares B. ,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
31.4%
Draw
30.2%
Cerro Largo
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 28.1% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 25.6% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Largo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (3.5)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    2.45
    (2)
    6.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
    • River Plate has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerro Largo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
    30.06.2025 Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo 2:2
    18.04.2025 Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    09.11.2024 Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    05.05.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo 2:3
    19.08.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo 0:0
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

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