Result
1:1
08/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 114 | 80 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 51 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. ⚽, Peralta F. (A),
- 35', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Peralta F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Neira C. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 46', Carrizo F. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
- 55', Ramos J. ↓, Arregui A. ↑,
- 55', Cabellos C. ↓, Zanelatto F. ↑,
- 59', Iturbe J. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 67', Dominguez C. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 67', Diego Churin ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
- 76', Baez C. 🟨,
- 76', De Santis J. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
- 86', Zanelatto F. 🟨,
- 88', Peralta F. ↓, Carrascal R. ↑,
- 90', Fernandez F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
39.5% | Draw
30.3% | Cerro Porteño
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-1%)
Alianza Lima - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.19) |
3.1 ↓
(3.27) |
3.1 ↓
(3.21) |
6.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Lima: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Cerro Porteño in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Cerro Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cerro Porteño?
Alianza Lima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Alianza Lima?
Cerro Porteño has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
10.04.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
