Result
2:1
25/07/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN 2 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, FuboTV |
 Chile | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Netherlands | ESPN 1, ESPN 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Usa | beIN Connect, FuboTV |
 World | Amazon Prime Video, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 93 | 117 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Gonzalo Mastriani ⚽, Cuello (A),
- 22', Fernandinho 🟨,
- 26', Zapelli B. 🟨,
- 30', Benitez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Benitez M. ↓, Cabanas V. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 0, Cuello ⚽,
- 60', Diego Churin ↓, Da Costa F. ↑,
- 60', Rodriguez D. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 66', Zapelli B. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽,
- 71', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 71', Cabanas V. 🟨,
- 74', Eduardo Brock ↓, Carrascal R. ↑,
- 80', Fernandinho ↓, Gamarra M. ↑,
- 83', Cabanas V. 🟨,
- 85', Cuello ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 85', Christian ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 87', Iturbe J. ↓, Olmedo L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
64.8% | Draw
22.9% | Cerro Porteño
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.63) |
4.1 ↑
(3.45) |
7.55 ↑
(5.25) |
6.7%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Cerro Porteño have a series of home games.
- In this match Athletico PR is certain favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Cerro Porteño?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Athletico Paranaense?
Cerro Porteño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
18.07.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
