Athletico Paranaense vs Cerro Porteño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño
Result
2:1
25/07/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, FuboTV
chileChileESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN 1, ESPN 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
usaUsabeIN Connect, FuboTV
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
81
Shots on Goal
21
Shots off Goal
60
Free Kicks
154
Corner Kicks
72
Offsides
03
Throw-ins
1716
Goalkeeper Saves
00
Fouls
1119
Red Cards
11
Yellow Cards
33
Attacks
93117
Dangerous Attacks
4038

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Gonzalo Mastriani , Cuello (A),
  • 22', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 26', Zapelli B. 🟨,
  • 30', Benitez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Benitez M. , Cabanas V. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Cuello ,
  • 60', Diego Churin , Da Costa F. ,
  • 60', Rodriguez D. , Fernandez F. ,
  • 66', Zapelli B. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Fernandez F. ,
  • 71', Gonzalo Mastriani , Di Yorio L. ,
  • 71', Cabanas V. 🟨,
  • 74', Eduardo Brock , Carrascal R. ,
  • 80', Fernandinho , Gamarra M. ,
  • 83', Cabanas V. 🟨,
  • 85', Cuello , Godoy L. ,
  • 85', Christian , Gabriel ,
  • 87', Iturbe J. , Olmedo L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
64.8%
Draw
22.9%
Cerro Porteño
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 26.5% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 26.3% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.
  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.63)
    4.1
    (3.45)
    7.55
    (5.25)
    6.7%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño?
  • Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Cerro Porteño have a series of home games.
    • In this match Athletico PR is certain favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    18.07.2024 Cerro Porteño - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2