Bolívar vs Cerro Porteño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores
Soccer Copa Libertadores Bolívar - Cerro Porteño
Result
4:0
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
Bolívar - Cerro Porteño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.780.76
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
2612
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
101
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
88% (403/458)63% (127/203)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
3.780.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.790.54
Total shots
2612
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
145
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
118
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
101
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
309
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
511
Passes
88% (403/458)63% (127/203)
Long passes
77% (58/75)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
79% (83/105)46% (33/71)
Crosses
38% (9/24)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.16
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
115
Tackles
38% (3/8)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3342
Clearances
1229
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.542.79
Goals prevented
0.54-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Romero D. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
  • 44', Pato Rodriguez 🟨,
  • 44', Velazquez G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Melgar C. A. ⚽, Justiniano L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 3 - 0, Pato Rodriguez ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
  • 52', Iturbe J. ↓, Chico ↑,
  • 52', Carrizo F. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
  • 53', Morel J. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
  • 57', Viera W. 🟨,
  • 66', Perez M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
  • 67', Robson Matheus 🟨,
  • 71', Velasquez J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
  • 71', Robson Matheus ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
  • 71', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
  • 72', Velazquez G. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Torren M. (A),
  • 81', Fabio Gomes 🟨,
  • 88', Rocha Y. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
  • 90+3', Piris R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bruno Savio 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolívar
66.1%		Draw
20.8%		Cerro Porteño
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 17.4% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1% 17.7% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
    •

    Bolívar - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.43 ↑
    (1.34)    		 4.56 ↓
    (5.33)    		 7.23 ↑
    (6.82)    		 5.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Bolívar - Cerro Porteño?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bolívar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cerro Porteño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bolívar is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G. (Inactive) Melgarejo R. (Knee Injury) Torres J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cerro Porteño: Dominguez C. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolívar - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Bolívar 4:2
    06.06.2023 Bolívar - Cerro Porteño 2:0
    03.05.2023 Cerro Porteño - Bolívar 0:4
    Latest results of Bolívar
    24.05.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar 1:1
    21.05.2025 Bolívar - Blooming 3:1
    15.05.2025 Palmeiras - Bolívar 2:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Aurora - Bolívar 0:2 ✺
    07.05.2025 Sporting Cristal - Bolívar 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    24.05.2025 Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo 1:1 ✺
    21.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:0 ✺
    16.05.2025 Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM 2:1 ✺
    13.05.2025 Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño 0:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 0:2 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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