Result
4:0
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
South-america | ESPN 6 South |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.78 | 0.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
10 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
88% (403/458) | 63% (127/203) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.78 | 0.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.79 | 0.54 |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
14 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
10 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
88% (403/458) | 63% (127/203) |
Long passes |
---|
77% (58/75) | 37% (19/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (83/105) | 46% (33/71) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (9/24) | 40% (2/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.75 | 0.16 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
38% (3/8) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.54 | 2.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.54 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Romero D. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
- 44', Pato Rodriguez 🟨,
- 44', Velazquez G. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Melgar C. A. ⚽, Justiniano L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 3 - 0, Pato Rodriguez ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
- 52', Iturbe J. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 52', Carrizo F. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 53', Morel J. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
- 57', Viera W. 🟨,
- 66', Perez M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 67', Robson Matheus 🟨,
- 71', Velasquez J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 71', Robson Matheus ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
- 71', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 72', Velazquez G. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Torren M. (A),
- 81', Fabio Gomes 🟨,
- 88', Rocha Y. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 90+3', Piris R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bruno Savio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolívar 66.1% | Draw 20.8% | Cerro Porteño 13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Bolívar - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↑ (1.34) |
4.56 ↓ (5.33) |
7.23 ↑ (6.82) |
5.9% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bolívar - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Bolívar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cerro Porteño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bolívar is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G.
(Inactive)
Melgarejo R.
(Knee Injury)
Torres J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cerro Porteño: Dominguez C.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Cerro Porteño?
Bolívar has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Bolívar?
Cerro Porteño has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolívar - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
01.04.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Bolívar
4:2
06.06.2023
Bolívar
-
Cerro Porteño
2:0
03.05.2023
Cerro Porteño
-
Bolívar
0:4
Latest results of Bolívar
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)