Estudiantes La Plata vs Cerro Porteño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño
Result
0:0
20/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainLaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.26
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
76% (275/364)79% (434/546)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.150.08
Total shots
107
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
76% (275/364)79% (434/546)
Long passes
40% (21/53)45% (34/76)
Passes in final third
60% (71/118)53% (51/96)
Crosses
18% (3/17)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.32
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
1413
Tackles
72% (13/18)47% (8/17)
Duels won
6555
Clearances
4126
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.080.15
Goals prevented
0.080.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
  • 11', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 20', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 27', Piris R. , Peralta F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Torres J. , Araujo S. ,
  • 76', Palacios T. , Farias F. ,
  • 79', Carrillo G. 🟨,
  • 80', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. , Dominguez C. ,
  • 80', Iturbe J. , Amarilla L. ,
  • 80', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 81', Medina C. , Nunez S. ,
  • 90+1', Carrizo F. , Sonora A. ,
  • 90+2', Castro A. , Cetre E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
55.8%
Draw
26.8%
Cerro Porteño
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 27.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 26.1% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.68)
    3.52
    (3.41)
    5.33
    (5.63)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 56.4%86.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gabriel Neves (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Benitez A. G. (Shoulder Injury) Gimenez G. (Inactive) Luciatti A. (Back Injury) Melgarejo R. (Knee Injury) Velazquez G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S. (Injury) Perez Fabricio (Injury)
    • We predict that Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    13.08.2025 Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata 0:1
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ