Result
2:1
16/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 114 | 51 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 61 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Marcelo ⚽, Antonio Carlos (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Viera W. ⚽, Piris R. (A),
- 34', Baez C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Diego Churin ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
- 65', Carrascal R. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
- 70', Baez C. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, PH Ganso ⚽, Guga (A),
- 75', Dominguez C. ↓, De Jesus R. ↑,
- 75', Iturbe J. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 75', Martinelli 🟨,
- 79', Cano G. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 81', Guga ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
- 81', PH Ganso ↓, Felipe Andrade ↑,
- 84', Viera W. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 90', De Jesus R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Keno ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 90+3', Piris R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
55.2% | Draw
26.9% | Cerro Porteño
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense's form might have worsened.Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro Porteño's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fluminense - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.34) |
3.49 ↓
(4.53) |
5.23 ↓
(9.49) |
6.3%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cerro Porteño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cerro Porteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.
- In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
- Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Cerro Porteño?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Fluminense?
Cerro Porteño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
25.04.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Fluminense
0:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
