Result
1:1
23/03/2025 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | VTV+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Abero M. (Pen),
- 15', Almeida E. 🟨,
- 17', Villar M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Villar M. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 46', Almeida E. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
- 61', Peralta M. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 64', Silvestre F. ↓, Frugone A. ↑,
- 67', Millan J. 🟨,
- 70', Fernandez J. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 70', Arguello M. ↓, Velazquez A. ↑,
- 77', Salaberry H. ↓, Crespo E. ↑,
- 81', Velazquez E. 🟥,
- 82', Goicoechea M. 🟨,
- 84', Alonso M. ↓, Da Silveira P. ↑,
- 85', Nunez S. ↓, Martinicorena F. ↑,
- 85', Sanseviero L. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 89', Larrosa E. 🟨,
- 89', Frugone A. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Romero S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro
29.5% | Draw
31.9% | Danubio
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Cerro - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(2.79) |
2.91 ↓
(3.14) |
2.4 ↓
(2.48) |
7.5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Cerro - Danubio?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1.
- Recent matches Cerro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Danubio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cerro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Danubio will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cerro won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:15 (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Danubio?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Cerro?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Danubio were as follows:
14.11.2024
Danubio
-
Cerro
0:0
22.06.2024
Cerro
-
Danubio
0:0
11.05.2024
Cerro
-
Danubio
2:0
19.10.2023
Cerro
-
Danubio
1:1
12.03.2023
Danubio
-
Cerro
1:0
Latest results of Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 3 | Boston River | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventud | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Nacional | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Miramar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Danubio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Progreso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 16 | River Plate | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:8 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
