Danubio vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Total shots
106
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Rinaldi M. ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Mayada C. ,
  • 29', Larrosa E. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Fernandez S. ,
  • 34', Larrosa E. 🟥,
  • 38', 4 - 0, Mayada C. ,
  • 45+1', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romero S. , Peralta M. ,
  • 46', Miranda A. , Farias M. ,
  • 46', Neira I. , Cuello E. ,
  • 46', Valenzuela I. , Sosa E. ,
  • 47', Peralta M. 🟨,
  • 48', 5 - 0, Nunez S. , Sanseviero L. (A),
  • 59', Fernandez S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 59', Nunez S. , Brandao ,
  • 59', Gonzalez M. , Sanchez V. ,
  • 66', Camacho S. , Morales B. ,
  • 73', Sanseviero L. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 78', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 80', Caceres S. , Nichele M. ,
  • 84', Perg M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 5 - 1, Rinaldi M. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Danubio
50.1%
Draw
28%
Cerro
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 28.6% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.8% 27.4%

Danubio - Cerro Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.93
(2.14)
3.54
(3.23)
4.64
(3.28)
1.7%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Danubio - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: Danubio will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Danubio could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Cerro were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Cerro - Danubio 1:1
    14.11.2024 Danubio - Cerro 0:0
    22.06.2024 Cerro - Danubio 0:0
    11.05.2024 Cerro - Danubio 2:0
    19.10.2023 Cerro - Danubio 1:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    Latest results of Cerro
    07.09.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 0:1
    17.08.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 0:2
    10.08.2025 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
    2ByeNacional

    Final
    1PenarolNacional2 : 2