Result
5:1
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Rinaldi M. ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, Mayada C. ⚽,
- 29', Larrosa E. 🟨,
- 33', 3 - 0, Fernandez S. ⚽,
- 34', Larrosa E. 🟥,
- 38', 4 - 0, Mayada C. ⚽,
- 45+1', Romero S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Romero S. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
- 46', Miranda A. ↓, Farias M. ↑,
- 46', Neira I. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 46', Valenzuela I. ↓, Sosa E. ↑,
- 47', Peralta M. 🟨,
- 48', 5 - 0, Nunez S. ⚽, Sanseviero L. (A),
- 59', Fernandez S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 59', Nunez S. ↓, Brandao ↑,
- 59', Gonzalez M. ↓, Sanchez V. ↑,
- 66', Camacho S. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 73', Sanseviero L. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 78', Frugone A. 🟨,
- 80', Caceres S. ↓, Nichele M. ↑,
- 84', Perg M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 5 - 1, Rinaldi M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Danubio
50.1% | Draw
28% | Cerro
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Danubio - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.14) |
3.54 ↑
(3.23) |
4.64 ↑
(3.28) |
1.7%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Danubio - Cerro?
Users Predictions:
Danubio will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Danubio could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Cerro?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Danubio?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Cerro were as follows:
23.03.2025
Cerro
-
Danubio
1:1
14.11.2024
Danubio
-
Cerro
0:0
22.06.2024
Cerro
-
Danubio
0:0
11.05.2024
Cerro
-
Danubio
2:0
19.10.2023
Cerro
-
Danubio
1:1
Latest results of Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Boston River | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nacional | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Liverpool M | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Danubio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Miramar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Progreso | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:12 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
