Cerro vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro - Danubio
Result
1:1
23/03/2025 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayVTV+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
27
Shots on Goal
12
Shots off Goal
15
Corner Kicks
06
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Abero M. (Pen),
  • 15', Almeida E. 🟨,
  • 17', Villar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Villar M. , Cuello E. ,
  • 46', Almeida E. , Caceres S. ,
  • 61', Peralta M. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 64', Silvestre F. , Frugone A. ,
  • 67', Millan J. 🟨,
  • 70', Fernandez J. , Femia E. ,
  • 70', Arguello M. , Velazquez A. ,
  • 77', Salaberry H. , Crespo E. ,
  • 81', Velazquez E. 🟥,
  • 82', Goicoechea M. 🟨,
  • 84', Alonso M. , Da Silveira P. ,
  • 85', Nunez S. , Martinicorena F. ,
  • 85', Sanseviero L. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 89', Larrosa E. 🟨,
  • 89', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Romero S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerro
29.5%
Draw
31.9%
Danubio
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 29.5% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 28.9% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Cerro - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.79)
    2.91
    (3.14)
    2.4
    (2.48)
    7.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Cerro - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1.
    • Recent matches Cerro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Danubio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cerro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Danubio will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cerro won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:15 (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Danubio were as follows:
    14.11.2024 Danubio - Cerro 0:0
    22.06.2024 Cerro - Danubio 0:0
    11.05.2024 Cerro - Danubio 2:0
    19.10.2023 Cerro - Danubio 1:1
    12.03.2023 Danubio - Cerro 1:0
    Latest results of Cerro
    Latest results of Danubio
    09.03.2025 Miramar Misiones - Danubio 1:0
    06.03.2025 Cerro Largo - Danubio 3:2
    23.02.2025 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    15.02.2025 Danubio - Cerro Largo 0:0
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1