Result
0:0
01/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Caceres S. 🟨,
- 45', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Caceres S. ↓, Ocampo M. ↑,
- 46', Miranda A. ↓, Sosa E. ↑,
- 56', Oliva C. 🟨,
- 61', Lodeiro N. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 62', De Los Santos J. ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 62', Cuello E. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 71', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 71', Suarez M. 🟨,
- 74', Valenzuela I. 🟥,
- 76', Paiva S. ↓, Villar M. ↑,
- 76', Macelli A. 🟨,
- 78', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
- 78', Oliva C. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 86', Romero D. ↓, Patino J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerro
11.4% | Draw
23.9% | Nacional Montevideo
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerro - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.05 ↓
(8.96) |
3.93 ↓
(4.17) |
1.43 ↑
(1.36) |
7.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:38. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Nacional Montevideo?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Cerro?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
03.05.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro
4:0
02.11.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro
2:0
09.06.2024
Cerro
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:0
28.04.2024
Cerro
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:2
15.10.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Cerro
2:1
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
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