Result
0:1
02/05/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Tabo C. 🟨,
- 56', Espindola M. 🟨,
- 61', Suarez D. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
- 69', Tormo S. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 69', Ocampo M. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 76', Guasone J. ↓, Sosa E. ↑,
- 76', Soria N. ↓, Cristoforo S. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Fuica N. ⚽,
- 80', Bregante F. 🟨,
- 82', Ramirez S. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 82', Tabo C. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
- 82', Cesar R. ↓, Vila A. ↑,
- 85', Sosa E. 🟨,
- 88', Aleman B. 🟨,
- 90', Espindola M. ↓, Mozzone E. ↑,
- 90+4', Tealde F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro
25.5% | Draw
28.9% | Deportivo Maldonado
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↑
(3.51) |
3.22 ↓
(3.22) |
2.03 ↓
(2.04) |
8.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Maldonado will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Deportivo Maldonado?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Maldonado won against Cerro?
Deportivo Maldonado has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado were as follows:
08.11.2024
Cerro
-
Deportivo Maldonado
0:0
05.05.2024
Deportivo Maldonado
-
Cerro
3:0
03.09.2023
Deportivo Maldonado
-
Cerro
2:1
17.07.2023
Deportivo Maldonado
-
Cerro
1:2
18.02.2023
Cerro
-
Deportivo Maldonado
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | Danubio | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
