Result
4:2
11/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 17', 1 - 0, Ramirez S. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 31', Menosse H. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 2, Lopez N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', 2 - 2, Tabo C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
- 47', Vera M. 🟨,
- 62', Vera M. ↓, Lodeiro N. ↑,
- 64', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
- 67', Tabo C. ↓, Vila A. ↑,
- 67', Veron T. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
- 67', Boggio L. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 72', Ramirez S. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
- 72', Cesar R. ↓, de Leon E. ↑,
- 73', Nunez P. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 76', de Leon E. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 2, Lopez G. ⚽,
- 84', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 84', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 85', Menosse H. ↓, Fuica N. ↑,
- 85', Espindola M. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
- 87', Lopez N. 🟥,
- 90+2', Calione P. 🟨,
- 90+6', Suarez I. 🟨,
- 90+7', 4 - 2, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Maldonado
34.7% | Draw
30.4% | Nacional Montevideo
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maldonado's performance.Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maldonado that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(4) |
3.08 ↓
(3.34) |
2.67 ↑
(1.92) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Maldonado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Maldonado won against Nacional Montevideo?
Deportivo Maldonado has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Deportivo Maldonado?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
13.01.2026
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
1:0
16.11.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
5:2
20.05.2024
Deportivo Maldonado
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:2
23.10.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
1:3
17.06.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
4:0
Latest results of Deportivo Maldonado
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
