Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
17
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
108
Corner kicks
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Fernandez S. ,
  • 32', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Mayada C. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Tabo C. ,
  • 55', Sosa L. , Jourdan M. ,
  • 55', Fernandez S. , Azambuja N. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez S. , Cabrera E. ,
  • 61', Ramirez S. 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez J. , Fuica N. ,
  • 67', Ramirez S. , Tealde F. ,
  • 71', Rossi I. , Millan J. ,
  • 71', Ferreira M. , Femia E. ,
  • 71', Gonzalez M. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 80', Espindola M. , Lopez G. ,
  • 80', Tabo C. , Vila A. ,
  • 90+2', Menosse H. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Danubio
34.3%
Draw
31.5%
Deportivo Maldonado
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 30.3% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 30.5% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (3.06)
    2.96
    (3.08)
    2.73
    (2.38)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2.
    • Danubio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Maldonado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Danubio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio 3:1
    03.06.2024 Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado 1:1
    06.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio 1:2
    25.03.2023 Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado 4:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1393122:111130
    2Maldonado1482422:15726
    3Penarol1372419:13623
    4Albion1364322:14822
    5Central Esp1363420:20021
    6Liverpool M1455420:17320
    7Defensor Sp1355311:8320
    8Montevideo City1354419:14519
    9Nacional1361620:18219
    10Danubio1446417:20-318
    11Wanderers1452715:21-617
    12Cerro Largo1342713:16-314
    13Boston River1342711:17-614
    14Juventud1433815:21-612
    15Progreso1324711:20-910
    16CA Cerro142488:20-1210

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