Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
39
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Total shots
39
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', Silvera F. 🟨,
  • 29', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Caceres S. ,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Larrosa E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alvarez J. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 46', Silvera F. , Da Silva N. ,
  • 62', Caceres S. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Neris P. ,
  • 72', Frugone A. , Miranda A. ,
  • 72', Paiva S. , Valenzuela I. ,
  • 74', Nunez W. , Arevalo K. ,
  • 74', Fratta G. , Dure L. ,
  • 80', Sosa E. 🟨,
  • 82', Siles P. 🟨,
  • 87', Busquets E. , Molina I. ,
  • 87', Caceres S. , Villar M. ,
  • 87', Larrosa E. , Morales B. ,
  • 88', Dure L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Siles P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Obregon E. , Martinez F. ,
  • 90+5', Bacchia R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montevideo City Torque
57.6%
Draw
25.3%
Cerro
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.5% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 25.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.72)
    3.73
    (3.49)
    5.4
    (4.76)
    6.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 5.
    • Montevideo City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Montevideo City is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo City Torque - Cerro were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Cerro - Montevideo City Torque 1:2
    18.11.2023 Montevideo City Torque - Cerro 1:0
    16.04.2023 Cerro - Montevideo City Torque 0:2
    Latest results of Cerro
    11.10.2025 Cerro - Defensor Sporting 1:0
    05.10.2025 Progreso - Cerro 2:0
    21.09.2025 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 1:0
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

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