Result
0:1
14/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Sosa E. 🟨,
- 29', Rijo T. 🟨,
- 33', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 34', Suarez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Silva G. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
- 61', Barros C. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 61', Aleman B. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
- 73', Lopez N. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
- 73', Morales B. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
- 73', Rijo T. ↓, Soria N. ↑,
- 77', Suarez D. ↓, Carlos R. ↑,
- 82', Fernandez N. ↓, Lemmo I. ↑,
- 82', Viera S. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽,
- 90+1', Cougo A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 90+4', Macelli A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro
36.3% | Draw
31.5% | Progreso
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Cerro - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.45) |
2.94 ↓
(2.97) |
2.91 ↑
(2.91) |
7.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Progreso?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Cerro?
Progreso has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Progreso were as follows:
05.10.2025
Progreso
-
Cerro
2:0
06.04.2025
Cerro
-
Progreso
0:0
14.09.2024
Progreso
-
Cerro
0:1
01.03.2024
Cerro
-
Progreso
2:3
10.09.2022
Cerro
-
Progreso
1:1
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
