Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (375/465) | 75% (297/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (375/465) | 75% (297/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/56) | 26% (15/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (71/112) | 62% (78/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Vulikic S. 🟨,
- 24', Riccio A. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Castagnetti M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Conti F. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 51', Pedrola E. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 2, Zaro G. ⚽,
- 56', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 69', Barak A. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
- 69', Venuti L. ↓, Depaoli F. ↑,
- 71', Shpendi C. 🟨,
- 77', Ciervo R. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 78', Bisoli D. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
- 81', Berti T. 🟨,
- 83', Henderson L. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
- 83', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 83', Shpendi C. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 85', Depaoli F. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Ioannou N. ⚽, Pafundi S. (A),
Chances of winning
Sampdoria
19.4% | Draw
28.3% | Cesena
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampdoria's form might have worsened.Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+18.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-21.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sampdoria - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.03 ↑
(2.45) |
5.24 ↑
(3.01) |
2.59 ↓
(3.04) |
-29.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sampdoria - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sampdoria (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cesena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Sampdoria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cesena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Barak A.
(Injury)
Malagrida L.
(Ankle Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Cesena?
Sampdoria has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Sampdoria?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampdoria - Cesena were as follows:
17.01.2025
Sampdoria
-
Cesena
1:2
20.10.2024
Cesena
-
Sampdoria
3:5
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
