Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
United-kingdom | DCTV |
Usa | DCTV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 1.97 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
81% (375/465) | 75% (297/396) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 1.97 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.28 | 1.70 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
81% (375/465) | 75% (297/396) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (20/56) | 26% (15/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (71/112) | 62% (78/126) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (1/9) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.27 | 1.27 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.70 | 0.28 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.30 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Vulikic S. 🟨,
- 24', Riccio A. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Castagnetti M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Conti F. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 51', Pedrola E. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 2, Zaro G. ⚽,
- 56', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 69', Barak A. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
- 69', Venuti L. ↓, Depaoli F. ↑,
- 71', Shpendi C. 🟨,
- 77', Ciervo R. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 78', Bisoli D. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
- 81', Berti T. 🟨,
- 83', Henderson L. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
- 83', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 83', Shpendi C. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 85', Depaoli F. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Ioannou N. ⚽, Pafundi S. (A),
Chances of winning
Sampdoria 19.4% | Draw 28.3% | Cesena 52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampdoria's form might have worsened.Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+18.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-21.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sampdoria - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.03 ↑ (2.45) |
5.24 ↑ (3.01) |
2.59 ↓ (3.04) |
-29.9% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sampdoria - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Sampdoria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cesena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Barak A.
(Injury)
Malagrida L.
(Ankle Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Cesena?
Sampdoria has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Sampdoria?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampdoria - Cesena were as follows:
17.01.2025
Sampdoria
-
Cesena
1:2
20.10.2024
Cesena
-
Sampdoria
3:5
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Palermo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Cesena | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
4 | Modena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 10 |
5 | Avellino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Sudtirol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
7 | Venezia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
9 | Monza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
11 | Carrarese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
12 | Catanzaro | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Reggiana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
14 | Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Pescara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 4 |
16 | Empoli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Mantova | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
18 | Bari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
19 | Spezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
20 | Sampdoria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation