Result
3:1
10/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 24
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (212/290) | 84% (480/571) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (212/290) | 84% (480/571) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 61% (40/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/79) | 74% (120/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -1.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Francesconi M. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Karic N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Shpendi C. ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
- 46', Olivieri M. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
- 46', Francesconi M. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
- 46', Amoran P. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 0, Cuppone L. ⚽, Debenedetti A. (A),
- 63', Squizzato N. 🟨,
- 63', Frabotta G. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
- 64', Parodi L. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
- 64', Bariti D. ↓, Mezzoni F. ↑,
- 71', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
- 71', Bastoni S. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
- 72', Mezzoni F. 🟨,
- 76', Cuppone L. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Cerri A. ⚽, Ciofi A. (A),
- 83', 3 - 1, Tirelli M. ⚽, Karic N. (A),
- 87', Debenedetti A. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
- 88', Squizzato N. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Virtus Entella
34.7% | Draw
32.6% | Cesena
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Virtus Entella - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.69) |
2.89 ↓
(3.08) |
2.84 ↑
(2.56) |
6.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Cesena (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 25%). Cesena (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cesena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A.
(Inactive)
Dalla Vecchia M.
(Yellow Cards)
Guiu B.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Cesena: Castagnetti M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Cesena?
Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Virtus Entella?
Cesena has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Entella - Cesena were as follows:
30.08.2025
Cesena
-
Virtus Entella
1:1
01.03.2024
Cesena
-
Virtus Entella
4:0
16.11.2023
Virtus Entella
-
Cesena
0:1
06.08.2023
Cesena
-
Virtus Entella
3:2
14.03.2023
Cesena
-
Virtus Entella
4:0
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
