Ceuta vs Las Palmas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.43
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
80% (307/384)82% (390/478)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.16
Total shots
159
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2228
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
80% (307/384)82% (390/478)
Long passes
39% (18/46)44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
70% (56/80)67% (92/137)
Crosses
25% (4/16)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.99
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1611
Tackles
81% (13/16)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4152
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
1610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.161.04
Goals prevented
0.160.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Clemente E. , Amatucci L. (A),
  • 56', Jese , Lukovic M. ,
  • 61', Bodiger Y. , Youness ,
  • 61', Rodriguez C. , Anuar ,
  • 69', Viera J. , Gil I. ,
  • 73', de la Fuente K. , Zalazar K. ,
  • 75', Marvin 🟨,
  • 79', Loiodice E. , Cedeno E. ,
  • 79', Fuster M. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 79', Viti , Alex Suarez ,
  • 80', Caro J. 🟨,
  • 86', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 88', Ahmed A. , Sanchez S. ,
  • 88', Jamelli , Ortuno J. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Matos Jose ,
  • 90+2', Romero J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ceuta
33%
Draw
32.1%
Las Palmas
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 31.4% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 31.7% 34.8%

Ceuta - Las Palmas Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.86
(2.79)
2.92
(2.98)
2.71
(2.66)
6.1%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Las Palmas?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2%66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Ceuta (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Ceuta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Las Palmas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Horkas D. (Red Card) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    07.12.2025 Granada - Ceuta 1:1
    02.12.2025 CD Guadalajara - Ceuta 1:0
    29.11.2025 Ceuta - Burgos 1:0
    26.11.2025 Ceuta - Almería 3:2
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation