Result
4:0
08/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DSports 6 |
 Ecuador | DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Uruguay | DSports 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (370/437) | 81% (311/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.04 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (370/437) | 81% (311/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (78/112) | 61% (53/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 4.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Fuster M. ⚽, Loiodice E. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽,
- 59', 3 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Gutierrez C. (A),
- 62', Illescas M. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 62', Youness ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
- 63', Amatucci L. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 63', Schor I. 🟨,
- 64', de la Fuente K. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
- 69', 4 - 0, Viera J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Viera J. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
- 72', Fuster M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 72', Gutierrez C. ↓, Alex Suarez ↑,
- 76', Jese ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 81', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
- 82', Jamelli ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Las Palmas
58.5% | Draw
25% | Ceuta
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Las Palmas - Ceuta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.64) |
3.75 ↓
(3.83) |
5.71 ↑
(5.38) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Ceuta?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Ceuta (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%). Ceuta (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Las Palmas is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Ceuta?
Las Palmas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Las Palmas?
Ceuta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Ceuta were as follows:
14.12.2025
Ceuta
-
Las Palmas
1:1
Latest results of Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Castellon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 28:49 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
