Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 14
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/471) | 74% (217/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/471) | 74% (217/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 39% (27/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (116/167) | 61% (54/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/29) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Marvel 🟨,
- 20', Pena R. 🟨,
- 28', Anuar 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Pena R. ⚽,
- 42', Cantero Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Diawara A. ⚽,
- 55', Anuar ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 59', Zalazar K. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 64', Garcia D. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
- 74', Jamelli ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 75', Youness ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
- 75', de la Fuente K. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
- 81', Marvel ↓, Miquel I. ↑,
- 81', Duk ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
- 88', Pena R. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
- 88', Cruz J. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Soriano J. (Own goal),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2ts7ym9z
Chances of winning
Ceuta
38.4% | Draw
32.4% | Leganés
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Ceuta - Leganés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.58) |
2.91 ↓
(3.05) |
3.25 ↑
(2.84) |
5.3%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Leganés?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Ceuta (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).
- Ceuta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Leganés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A.
(Injury)
Sanchez M.
(Injury)
Sanchez S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E.
(Injury)
Melero G.
(Red Card)
Pulido R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceuta: Obeng S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leganés: de la Fuente M.
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Leganés?
Ceuta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Ceuta?
Leganés has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Leganés were as follows:
Latest results of Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
