Ceuta vs Leganés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.30
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
83% (393/471)74% (217/292)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.211.12
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
83% (393/471)74% (217/292)
Long passes
50% (20/40)39% (27/69)
Passes in final third
69% (116/167)61% (54/88)
Crosses
10% (3/29)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.48
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1517
Tackles
89% (8/9)83% (5/6)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
1639
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.120.21
Goals prevented
-0.880.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Marvel 🟨,
  • 20', Pena R. 🟨,
  • 28', Anuar 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Pena R. ,
  • 42', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Diawara A. ,
  • 55', Anuar , Kone K. ,
  • 59', Zalazar K. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 64', Garcia D. , Plano O. ,
  • 74', Jamelli , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 75', Youness , Ortuno J. ,
  • 75', de la Fuente K. , Vallejo M. ,
  • 81', Marvel , Miquel I. ,
  • 81', Duk , Figueredo S. ,
  • 88', Pena R. , Guirao C. ,
  • 88', Cruz J. , Millan A. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Soriano J. (Own goal),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2ts7ym9z

Chances of winning


Ceuta
38.4%
Draw
32.4%
Leganés
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 30.7% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 30.3% 32.6%

Ceuta - Leganés Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.49
(2.58)
2.91
(3.05)
3.25
(2.84)
5.3%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Leganés?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ceuta (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).
    • Ceuta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Leganés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury) Sanchez S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Injury) Melero G. (Red Card) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Obeng S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leganés: de la Fuente M. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    02.11.2025 Córdoba - Ceuta 2:0
    29.10.2025 La Unión - Ceuta 0:2
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1
    18.10.2025 Ceuta - Mirandés 2:0
    12.10.2025 Albacete Balompié - Ceuta 0:0
    Latest results of Leganés
    08.11.2025 Real Sociedad B - Leganés 2:1
    01.11.2025 Leganés - Burgos 1:2
    29.10.2025 Azuaga - Leganés 1:4
    25.10.2025 Eibar - Leganés 0:0
    19.10.2025 Leganés - Málaga 2:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

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