Leganés vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes).

LaLiga2 - Round 31
Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
4.58	2.27
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
21	14
Shots on target
8	5
Big chances
8	2
Corner kicks
4	7
Passes
82% (246/301)	78% (288/371)
Yellow cards
5	2
Expected goals (xG)
4.58	2.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.68	2.33
Total shots
21	14
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
11	2
Blocked shots
2	7
Shots inside the box
18	9
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
8	2
Corner kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
31	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
8	19
Passes
82% (246/301)	78% (288/371)
Long passes
62% (34/55)	34% (16/47)
Passes in final third
77% (69/90)	59% (71/120)
Crosses
43% (10/23)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.77	0.75
Throw ins
16	15
Fouls
19	8
Tackles
57% (8/14)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
47	48
Clearances
22	11
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.33	3.68
Goals prevented
0.33	-1.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Illescas M. 🟨,
33', Youness 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Diawara A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Kone K. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
46', Aguilar Lopez G. ↓, Leiva M. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Cisse S. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
50', Guirao C. 🟨,
57', Redruello Nimo C. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
62', Millan A. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
62', Guirao C. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
65', Leiva M. 🟨,
70', Diawara A. 🟨,
73', Leiva M. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
75', Bodiger Y. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
75', Youness ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
78', Cruz J. 🟨,
83', Ahmed A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Cruz J. ⚽, Duk (A),
87', Cruz J. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Sanchez M. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 2, Melero G. ⚽, Cisse S. (A),
90+4', Figueredo S. 🟨,
90+8', 5 - 2, Melero G. ⚽,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5ewsn65j

Chances of winning

Leganés
51.2%

Draw
27.5%

Ceuta
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

29%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The chances for Ceuta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Leganés - Ceuta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.78)	3.41 ↓ (3.7)	4.38 ↓ (4.45)	6.6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Leganés - Ceuta?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 9).
Leganés is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ceuta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Leganés is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Leganés: Lopez R. (Ankle Injury) Pena R. (Muscle Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury) Saenz J. (Injury)
There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Jamelli (Ankle Injury) Zalazar K. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leganés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Ceuta?

Leganés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Leganés?

Ceuta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Ceuta were as follows:

16.11.2025 Ceuta - Leganés 1:2

Latest results of Leganés

14.03.2026 Valladolid - Leganés 3:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Leganés - Eibar 0:1 ✺

02.03.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Leganés 0:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Leganés - Leonesa 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Córdoba - Leganés 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Ceuta

14.03.2026 Ceuta - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Las Palmas - Ceuta 4:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Mirandés - Ceuta 0:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Ceuta - Córdoba 3:2 ✺

20.02.2026 Ceuta - Granada 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

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