Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 2
- Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (405/503) | 67% (205/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (405/503) | 67% (205/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/69) | 39% (29/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (84/129) | 62% (90/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽, Otero J. (A),
- 37', Ortuno J. 🟨,
- 45', Martin N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Bodiger Y. ↓, Ugiagbe E. ↑,
- 65', Campos G. ↓, Curbelo E. ↑,
- 74', Martin N. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 74', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Mbemba P. ↑,
- 78', Zalazar K. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 84', Ahmed A. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
- 84', Youness ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
- 88', Corredera A. ↓, Prendes E. O. ↑,
- 88', Otero J. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
- 89', Coundoul A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4uuze6bk
Chances of winning
Ceuta
30.1% | Draw
31.7% | Sporting de Gijón
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceuta's form might have worsened.Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+16%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.15) |
3.19 ↓
(3.28) |
2.52 ↓
(3.34) |
0.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sporting de Gijón (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Ceuta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sporting de Gijón is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sporting de Gijón has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Sanchez M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Sporting de Gijón?
Ceuta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Ceuta?
Sporting de Gijón has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. La Coruna | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Andorra | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Cadiz CF | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Racing Santander | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Eibar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Valladolid | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Almeria | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Huesca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Burgos CF | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 | Gijon | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Malaga | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Leganes | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Mirandes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Ceuta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Zaragoza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Castellon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Albacete | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 22 | Granada CF | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
