Ceuta vs Sporting de Gijón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón
Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 2
  • Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Orange Futbol 2
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.75
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
81% (405/503)67% (205/304)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.73
Total shots
117
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
81% (405/503)67% (205/304)
Long passes
49% (34/69)39% (29/75)
Passes in final third
65% (84/129)62% (90/146)
Crosses
19% (5/26)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.72
Throw-ins
2425
Fouls
1115
Tackles
47% (9/19)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5848
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.731.27
Goals prevented
0.731.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Gelabert Pina C. , Otero J. (A),
  • 37', Ortuno J. 🟨,
  • 45', Martin N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Bodiger Y. , Ugiagbe E. ,
  • 65', Campos G. , Curbelo E. ,
  • 74', Martin N. , Smith J. ,
  • 74', Gelabert Pina C. , Mbemba P. ,
  • 78', Zalazar K. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 84', Ahmed A. , Bassinga A. ,
  • 84', Youness , Vallejo M. ,
  • 88', Corredera A. , Prendes E. O. ,
  • 88', Otero J. , Coundoul A. ,
  • 89', Coundoul A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4uuze6bk

Chances of winning


Ceuta
30.1%
Draw
31.7%
Sporting de Gijón
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 28.5% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 30.2% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceuta's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+16%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (2.15)
    3.19
    (3.28)
    2.52
    (3.34)
    0.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Sporting de Gijón (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ceuta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting de Gijón is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sporting de Gijón has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    02.08.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:3
    26.07.2025 Al-Wakrah - Ceuta 1:4
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander330010:469
    2Gijon33004:139
    3Valladolid32104:047
    4Andorra32106:337
    5Cadiz CF32104:227
    6Huesca32104:227
    7Malaga32103:127
    8Dep. La Coruna31205:325
    9Almeria31207:615
    10Burgos CF31116:334
    11Eibar31115:324
    12Las Palmas31114:314
    13Real Sociedad B31113:304
    14Leganes30304:403
    15Mirandes31022:3-13
    16Albacete30127:9-21
    17Cordoba30122:5-31
    18Castellon30122:5-31
    19Zaragoza30122:5-31
    20Granada CF30032:8-60
    21Cultural Leonesa30031:7-60
    22Ceuta30031:8-70

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation