Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 2
- Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9 |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Orange Futbol 2 |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (405/503) | 67% (205/304) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.27 | 1.73 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (405/503) | 67% (205/304) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (34/69) | 39% (29/75) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (84/129) | 62% (90/146) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (5/26) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.61 | 0.72 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
47% (9/19) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.73 | 1.27 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.73 | 1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽, Otero J. (A),
- 37', Ortuno J. 🟨,
- 45', Martin N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Bodiger Y. ↓, Ugiagbe E. ↑,
- 65', Campos G. ↓, Curbelo E. ↑,
- 74', Martin N. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 74', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Mbemba P. ↑,
- 78', Zalazar K. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 84', Ahmed A. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
- 84', Youness ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
- 88', Corredera A. ↓, Prendes E. O. ↑,
- 88', Otero J. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
- 89', Coundoul A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4uuze6bk
Chances of winning
Ceuta 30.1% | Draw 31.7% | Sporting de Gijón 38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceuta's form might have worsened.Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+16%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.37 ↑ (2.15) |
3.19 ↓ (3.28) |
2.52 ↓ (3.34) |
0.6% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sporting de Gijón (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Ceuta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sporting de Gijón is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sporting de Gijón has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Sanchez M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Sporting de Gijón?
Ceuta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Ceuta?
Sporting de Gijón has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Santander | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
2 | Gijon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
3 | Valladolid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Andorra | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Cadiz CF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Huesca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Malaga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Dep. La Coruna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
9 | Almeria | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Burgos CF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
11 | Eibar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
12 | Las Palmas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
13 | Real Sociedad B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
14 | Leganes | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
15 | Mirandes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
16 | Albacete | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Cordoba | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
18 | Castellon | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
19 | Zaragoza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Granada CF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
21 | Cultural Leonesa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
22 | Ceuta | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation