Ceuta vs Zaragoza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 6
  • Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.96
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
76% (264/349)76% (225/298)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.55
Total shots
712
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
76% (264/349)76% (225/298)
Long passes
43% (24/56)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
63% (74/118)65% (65/100)
Crosses
9% (2/23)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.42
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
1810
Tackles
50% (6/12)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4058
Clearances
1517
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.550.50
Goals prevented
0.55-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 12', Sebastian J. 🟨,
  • 23', Zalazar K. 🟨,
  • 29', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 35', Youness 🟨,
  • 36', de la Fuente P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sebastian J. , Francho ,
  • 49', Kone K. 🟨,
  • 65', Gomez D. , Bazdar S. ,
  • 65', Kodro K. , Sans P. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. , Matos Jose (A),
  • 68', Zalazar K. , Anuar ,
  • 68', Youness , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 73', de la Fuente P. , Valery ,
  • 78', Bare K. , Moya T. ,
  • 78', Ahmed A. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 85', Kone K. , Sanchez S. ,
  • 85', Almenara G. , Caparros A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ym7ant9r

Chances of winning


Ceuta
45%
Draw
28.4%
Zaragoza
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 28.9% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 28.9% 32%

Ceuta - Zaragoza Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.15
(2.38)
3.32
(3.23)
3.55
(2.92)
4.9%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Zaragoza?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Zaragoza (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Zaragoza (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 20%). Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Cantero Y. (Red Card) Ortuno J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Knee Injury) Tasende D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    23.08.2025 Zaragoza - FC Andorra 1:3
    17.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Zaragoza 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander24135650:331744
    2Castellon24126638:251342
    3Dep. La Coruna24117638:261240
    4Almeria24116745:351039
    5Las Palmas24109529:20939
    6Malaga24115836:28838
    7Cordoba24108632:27538
    8Burgos CF24115828:24438
    9Gijon241131033:32136
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2497826:27-134
    12Albacete2496930:34-433
    13Eibar2487925:26-131
    14Leganes2478926:25129
    15Granada CF24611726:28-229
    16Andorra2478926:33-729
    17Valladolid24771025:27-228
    18Huesca24761122:32-1027
    19Real Sociedad B24671130:34-425
    20Cultural Leonesa24741325:38-1325
    21Zaragoza24571221:37-1622
    22Mirandes24551425:41-1620

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