Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 6
- Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (264/349) | 76% (225/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (264/349) | 76% (225/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (74/118) | 65% (65/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/23) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
- 12', Sebastian J. 🟨,
- 23', Zalazar K. 🟨,
- 29', Hernandez C. 🟨,
- 35', Youness 🟨,
- 36', de la Fuente P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sebastian J. ↓, Francho ↑,
- 49', Kone K. 🟨,
- 65', Gomez D. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 65', Kodro K. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
- 68', Zalazar K. ↓, Anuar ↑,
- 68', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 73', de la Fuente P. ↓, Valery ↑,
- 78', Bare K. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
- 78', Ahmed A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 85', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
- 85', Almenara G. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ym7ant9r
Chances of winning
Ceuta
45% | Draw
28.4% | Zaragoza
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zaragoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceuta - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.38) |
3.32 ↑
(3.23) |
3.55 ↑
(2.92) |
4.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Zaragoza?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Zaragoza (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Zaragoza (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 20%). Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Cantero Y.
(Red Card)
Ortuno J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Zaragoza: Carbonell L.
(Knee Injury)
Kosa S.
(Knee Injury)
Tasende D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M.
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Zaragoza?
Ceuta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Ceuta?
Zaragoza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Zaragoza were as follows:
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Castellon | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 45:26 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 52:39 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | Malaga | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cordoba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Gijon | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Burgos CF | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | Eibar | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Cadiz CF | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 34 |
| 14 | Albacete | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Leganes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 17 | Andorra | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 19 | Valladolid | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
