Ceuta vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ceuta
23.9%
Draw
24.3%
Castellón
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 24.9% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 24.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Ceuta - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (3.72)
    3.87
    (3.77)
    1.82
    (1.89)
    6.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Ceuta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Castellón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Castellón were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    11.02.2024 Castellón - Ceuta 2:2
    15.10.2023 Ceuta - Castellón 1:3
    Latest results of Ceuta
    03.05.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Ceuta 1:2
    26.04.2026 Ceuta - Racing Santander 0:0
    18.04.2026 Zaragoza - Ceuta 2:2
    10.04.2026 Ceuta - Real Sociedad B 0:0
    05.04.2026 Eibar - Ceuta 3:0
    Latest results of Castellón
    02.05.2026 Castellón - Córdoba 1:2
    25.04.2026 Málaga - Castellón 2:3
    18.04.2026 Castellón - Burgos 3:1
    12.04.2026 Mirandés - Castellón 2:2
    06.04.2026 Castellón - Granada 3:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation