CF Montréal vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	RDS App, RDS, TSN 4
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.83
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
71% (193/271)	85% (506/596)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	0.49
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
11	10
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
23	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
71% (193/271)	85% (506/596)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)	72% (112/155)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	1.18
Throw-ins
20	21
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
63% (15/24)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
54	40
Clearances
20	18
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.49	1.29
Goals prevented
0.49	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ⚽,
37', Perea A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ojeda A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
55', Moralez M. 🟨,
58', Graham-Roache O. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
64', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
64', Risa B. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
73', Bakrar M. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
79', Sealy D. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
79', Piette S. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
90+4', Gray T. 🟨,
90+5', Owusu P. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,

Chances of winning

CF Montréal
33.7%

Draw
27.5%

New York City
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

CF Montréal - New York City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.78)	3.43 ↑ (3.32)	2.42 ↓ (2.52)	5.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for CF Montréal - New York City?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). NY City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - NY City (4.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
Montreal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NY City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against New York City?

CF Montréal has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against CF Montréal?

New York City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - New York City were as follows:

10.05.2025 New York City - CF Montréal 0:1

19.10.2024 CF Montréal - New York City 2:0

03.07.2024 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0

30.08.2023 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0

01.07.2023 CF Montréal - New York City 0:1

Latest results of CF Montréal

25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal 1:3 ✺

31.05.2025 CF Montréal - New England Revolution 0:3 ✺

28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2 ✺

24.05.2025 CF Montréal - Los Angeles 2:2 ✺

Latest results of New York City

12.06.2025 New York City - Atlanta United 4:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2 ✺

28.05.2025 New York City - Houston Dynamo 0:3 ✺

25.05.2025 New York City - Chicago Fire 3:1 ✺

17.05.2025 New York City - New York Red Bulls 2:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Los Angeles FC	6	5	1	0	14:0	14	16
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	6	5	0	1	17:4	13	15
3	San Jose Earthquakes	6	5	0	1	10:1	9	15
4	Real Salt Lake	6	4	1	1	12:8	4	13
5	Seattle Sounders	6	4	1	1	6:2	4	13
6	FC Dallas	6	3	2	1	14:9	5	11
7	San Diego FC	6	3	2	1	13:8	5	11
8	Colorado Rapids	6	3	0	3	13:10	3	9
9	Minnesota United	6	2	2	2	6:12	-6	8
10	Houston Dynamo	5	2	0	3	8:10	-2	6
11	Austin FC	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
13	St. Louis City	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5
14	Portland Timbers	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4
15	Sporting Kansas City	6	1	1	4	6:14	-8	4

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	6	4	1	1	13:3	10	13
2	New York City	6	3	2	1	14:7	7	11
3	Charlotte	6	3	2	1	12:7	5	11
4	Inter Miami	6	3	2	1	11:10	1	11
5	Chicago Fire	6	3	1	2	8:5	3	10
6	Toronto FC	6	3	1	2	9:10	-1	10
7	New York Red Bulls	6	3	1	2	9:13	-4	10
8	DC United	6	2	1	3	4:8	-4	7
9	New England Revolution	5	2	0	3	11:9	2	6
10	FC Cincinnati	6	2	0	4	9:15	-6	6
11	Columbus Crew	6	1	2	3	8:9	-1	5
12	Atlanta Utd	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
13	CF Montreal	6	1	0	5	7:17	-10	3
14	Orlando City	6	1	0	5	5:23	-18	3
15	Philadelphia Union	6	0	0	6	4:11	-7	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)