CF Montréal vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS CF Montréal - New York City
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaRDS App, RDS, TSN 4
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.83
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
71% (193/271)85% (506/596)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.49
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
71% (193/271)85% (506/596)
Long passes
46% (27/59)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)72% (112/155)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.18
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1113
Tackles
63% (15/24)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.491.29
Goals prevented
0.490.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ,
  • 37', Perea A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ojeda A. , Shore J. ,
  • 55', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 58', Graham-Roache O. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 64', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 64', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 79', Sealy D. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 79', Piette S. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 90+4', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
33.7%
Draw
27.5%
New York City
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 28.7% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • CF Montréal - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.78)
    3.43
    (3.32)
    2.42
    (2.52)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). NY City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - New York City were as follows:
    10.05.2025 New York City - CF Montréal 0:1
    19.10.2024 CF Montréal - New York City 2:0
    03.07.2024 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0
    30.08.2023 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0
    01.07.2023 CF Montréal - New York City 0:1
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of New York City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 32179663:352860
    3Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 31168761:372456
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd325121537:58-2127
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)