CF Montréal vs New York City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - New York City
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
CF Montréal - New York City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.83
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
71% (193/271)85% (506/596)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.49
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
71% (193/271)85% (506/596)
Long passes
46% (27/59)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)72% (112/155)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.18
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1113
Tackles
63% (15/24)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.491.29
Goals prevented
0.490.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ,
  • 37', Perea A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ojeda A. , Shore J. ,
  • 55', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 58', Graham-Roache O. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 64', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 64', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 79', Sealy D. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 79', Piette S. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 90+4', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
33.7%
Draw
27.5%
New York City
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 28.7% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • CF Montréal - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.78)
    3.43
    (3.32)
    2.42
    (2.52)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). NY City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - New York City were as follows:
    10.05.2025 New York City - CF Montréal 0:1
    19.10.2024 CF Montréal - New York City 2:0
    03.07.2024 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0
    30.08.2023 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0
    01.07.2023 CF Montréal - New York City 0:1
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of New York City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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