CF Montréal vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	RDS App, RDS, TSN 4
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.83
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
71% (193/271)	85% (506/596)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	0.49
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
11	10
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
23	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
71% (193/271)	85% (506/596)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)	72% (112/155)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	1.18
Throw-ins
20	21
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
63% (15/24)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
54	40
Clearances
20	18
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.49	1.29
Goals prevented
0.49	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ⚽,
37', Perea A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ojeda A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
55', Moralez M. 🟨,
58', Graham-Roache O. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
64', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
64', Risa B. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
73', Bakrar M. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
79', Sealy D. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
79', Piette S. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
90+4', Gray T. 🟨,
90+5', Owusu P. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,

Chances of winning

CF Montréal
33.7%

Draw
27.5%

New York City
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

CF Montréal - New York City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.78)	3.43 ↑ (3.32)	2.42 ↓ (2.52)	5.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for CF Montréal - New York City?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). NY City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
Montreal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NY City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against New York City?

CF Montréal has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against CF Montréal?

New York City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - New York City were as follows:

10.05.2025 New York City - CF Montréal 0:1

19.10.2024 CF Montréal - New York City 2:0

03.07.2024 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0

30.08.2023 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0

01.07.2023 CF Montréal - New York City 0:1

Latest results of CF Montréal

25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal 1:3 ✺

31.05.2025 CF Montréal - New England Revolution 0:3 ✺

28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2 ✺

24.05.2025 CF Montréal - Los Angeles 2:2 ✺

Latest results of New York City

12.06.2025 New York City - Atlanta United 4:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2 ✺

28.05.2025 New York City - Houston Dynamo 0:3 ✺

25.05.2025 New York City - Chicago Fire 3:1 ✺

17.05.2025 New York City - New York Red Bulls 2:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	25	14	4	7	48:32	16	46
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	24	13	6	5	42:26	16	45
3	Minnesota United	25	12	8	5	42:28	14	44
4	Seattle Sounders	24	10	8	6	39:35	4	38
5	Portland Timbers	24	10	7	7	33:32	1	37
6	Los Angeles FC	22	10	6	6	39:28	11	36
7	Austin FC	23	9	6	8	21:26	-5	33
8	Real Salt Lake	24	9	4	11	26:30	-4	31
9	Colorado Rapids	25	8	6	11	31:39	-8	30
10	San Jose Earthquakes	25	7	8	10	47:44	3	29
11	Houston Dynamo	24	7	6	11	30:39	-9	27
12	FC Dallas	24	6	7	11	35:45	-10	25
13	Sporting Kansas City	24	6	6	12	36:45	-9	24
14	St. Louis City	24	4	6	14	24:40	-16	18
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	24	3	7	14	28:48	-20	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	25	15	5	5	43:24	19	50
2	FC Cincinnati	25	15	4	6	39:31	8	49
3	Nashville SC	25	14	5	6	42:26	16	47
4	Columbus Crew	25	12	8	5	41:36	5	44
5	Inter Miami	22	12	6	4	49:34	15	42
6	Orlando City	25	11	8	6	46:33	13	41
7	Charlotte	25	12	2	11	43:39	4	38
8	New York City	24	11	5	8	34:29	5	38
9	Chicago Fire	24	10	5	9	45:40	5	35
10	New York Red Bulls	25	9	6	10	39:36	3	33
11	New England Revolution	24	6	7	11	31:35	-4	25
12	Toronto FC	24	5	6	13	25:32	-7	21
13	Atlanta Utd	24	4	9	11	29:45	-16	21
14	DC United	25	4	7	14	22:49	-27	19
15	CF Montreal	25	4	6	15	23:46	-23	18

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)