CF Montréal vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	RDS App, RDS, TSN 4
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.83
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
71% (193/271)	85% (506/596)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	0.49
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
11	10
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
23	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
71% (193/271)	85% (506/596)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)	72% (112/155)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	1.18
Throw-ins
20	21
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
63% (15/24)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
54	40
Clearances
20	18
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.49	1.29
Goals prevented
0.49	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ⚽,
37', Perea A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ojeda A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
55', Moralez M. 🟨,
58', Graham-Roache O. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
64', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
64', Risa B. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
73', Bakrar M. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
79', Sealy D. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
79', Piette S. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
90+4', Gray T. 🟨,
90+5', Owusu P. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,

Chances of winning

CF Montréal
33.7%

Draw
27.5%

New York City
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

CF Montréal - New York City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.78)	3.43 ↑ (3.32)	2.42 ↓ (2.52)	5.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for CF Montréal - New York City?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). NY City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
Montreal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NY City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against New York City?

CF Montréal has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against CF Montréal?

New York City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - New York City were as follows:

10.05.2025 New York City - CF Montréal 0:1

19.10.2024 CF Montréal - New York City 2:0

03.07.2024 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0

30.08.2023 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0

01.07.2023 CF Montréal - New York City 0:1

Latest results of CF Montréal

25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal 1:3 ✺

31.05.2025 CF Montréal - New England Revolution 0:3 ✺

28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2 ✺

24.05.2025 CF Montréal - Los Angeles 2:2 ✺

Latest results of New York City

12.06.2025 New York City - Atlanta United 4:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2 ✺

28.05.2025 New York City - Houston Dynamo 0:3 ✺

25.05.2025 New York City - Chicago Fire 3:1 ✺

17.05.2025 New York City - New York Red Bulls 2:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	27	16	4	7	52:33	19	52
2	Minnesota United	27	13	8	6	44:30	14	47
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	13	7	6	44:29	15	46
4	Seattle Sounders	26	11	8	7	43:36	7	41
5	Los Angeles FC	24	11	7	6	43:30	13	40
6	Portland Timbers	26	10	7	9	35:37	-2	37
7	Colorado Rapids	27	10	6	11	36:41	-5	36
8	Austin FC	25	9	8	8	24:29	-5	35
9	San Jose Earthquakes	27	8	8	11	50:47	3	32
10	Real Salt Lake	26	9	4	13	27:33	-6	31
11	FC Dallas	26	7	8	11	38:46	-8	29
12	Houston Dynamo	26	7	8	11	33:42	-9	29
13	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	6	14	37:50	-13	24
14	St. Louis City	26	5	6	15	29:44	-15	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	26	3	7	16	29:55	-26	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Cincinnati	27	16	4	7	42:34	8	52
2	Philadelphia Union	27	15	6	6	44:26	18	51
3	Nashville SC	27	14	5	8	44:31	13	47
4	Orlando City	27	13	8	6	53:35	18	47
5	Inter Miami	24	13	6	5	53:39	14	45
6	Columbus Crew	26	12	9	5	42:37	5	45
7	Charlotte	27	14	2	11	45:39	6	44
8	New York City	25	12	5	8	36:30	6	41
9	Chicago Fire	26	11	6	9	50:44	6	39
10	New York Red Bulls	27	11	6	10	42:37	5	39
11	New England Revolution	26	7	7	12	33:37	-4	28
12	Toronto FC	26	5	8	13	27:34	-7	23
13	Atlanta Utd	26	4	10	12	31:49	-18	22
14	CF Montreal	27	4	8	15	25:48	-23	20
15	DC United	27	4	8	15	23:52	-29	20

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)