New York City vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.41
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
87% (533/615)76% (274/362)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.052.52
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
87% (533/615)76% (274/362)
Long passes
62% (40/65)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
76% (142/188)64% (56/87)
Crosses
14% (3/21)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.40
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1010
Tackles
58% (7/12)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
2042
Interceptions
313
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.520.05
Goals prevented
-0.470.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Haak J. (Own goal),
  • 35', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Junior Urso , Artur ,
  • 50', 0 - 2, Segal G. ,
  • 63', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
  • 65', Moralez M. , Carrizo M. ,
  • 65', Haak J. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 65', Martinez A. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 65', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 65', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 71', Duenas E. , Lingr O. ,
  • 72', Felipe Andrade , Dorsey G. ,
  • 74', Shore J. , Parks K. ,
  • 82', McGlynn J. , Holmes D. ,
  • 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 89', Lodeiro N. , Ortiz P. ,
  • 90+2', Cavallo N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 3, Segal G. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
50.8%
Draw
25.7%
Houston Dynamo
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 26.8% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 27% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • New York City - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.96)
    3.71
    (3.54)
    4.05
    (3.83)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for New York City - Houston Dynamo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - NY City (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - NY City (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, NY City is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Ponce E. (Yellow Cards) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: O'Toole K. (Leg Injury) Perea A. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Holmes D. (Ankle Injury) Junior Urso (Lower-Body Injury) Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    25.03.2023 Houston Dynamo - New York City 1:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

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