Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/395) | 73% (207/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/395) | 73% (207/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (23/39) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (100/141) | 52% (38/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Glesnes J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ⚽,
- 41', Loturi V. 🟨,
- 42', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Owusu P. ⚽, Waterman J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Herbers F. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Makhanya O. ⚽, Wagner K. (A),
- 60', Glesnes J. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
- 60', Baribo T. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 60', Synchuk G. ↓, Clark C. ↑,
- 66', Piette S. ↓, Duke B. ↑,
- 72', Craig B. 🟨,
- 80', Petrasso L. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
- 80', Bugaj D. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 82', Damiani B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 82', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 86', Sullivan Q. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Union
64.6% | Draw
20.3% | CF Montréal
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.54) |
4.63 ↑
(4.43) |
6.38 ↑
(5.75) |
5.6%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 69.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Philadelphia is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Uhre M.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Montreal: Neal J.
(Ankle Injury)
Vrioni G.
(Elbow Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against CF Montréal?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Philadelphia Union?
CF Montréal has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal were as follows:
03.05.2025
CF Montréal
-
Philadelphia Union
1:2
09.08.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
CF Montréal
2:0
29.06.2024
CF Montréal
-
Philadelphia Union
4:2
01.06.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
CF Montréal
2:2
03.06.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
CF Montréal
3:0
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Latest results of CF Montréal
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
