Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal
Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.481.36
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
817
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Long passes
59% (23/39)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)52% (38/73)
Crosses
26% (6/23)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.85
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
178
Tackles
92% (12/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4350
Clearances
3632
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.362.48
Goals prevented
0.360.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ,
  • 41', Loturi V. 🟨,
  • 42', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Owusu P. , Waterman J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Herbers F. , Pearce T. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Makhanya O. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 60', Glesnes J. , Westfield F. ,
  • 60', Baribo T. , Uhre M. ,
  • 60', Synchuk G. , Clark C. ,
  • 66', Piette S. , Duke B. ,
  • 72', Craig B. 🟨,
  • 80', Petrasso L. , Escobar O. ,
  • 80', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 82', Damiani B. , Donovan C. ,
  • 82', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
64.6%
Draw
20.3%
CF Montréal
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 21% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.54)
    4.63
    (4.43)
    6.38
    (5.75)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 69.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal were as follows:
    03.05.2025 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0
    29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2
    01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2
    03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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