Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal
Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.481.36
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
817
Passes
82% (325/395)73% (207/283)
Long passes
59% (23/39)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)52% (38/73)
Crosses
26% (6/23)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.85
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
178
Tackles
92% (12/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4350
Clearances
3632
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.362.48
Goals prevented
0.360.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ,
  • 41', Loturi V. 🟨,
  • 42', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Owusu P. , Waterman J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Herbers F. , Pearce T. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Makhanya O. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 60', Glesnes J. , Westfield F. ,
  • 60', Baribo T. , Uhre M. ,
  • 60', Synchuk G. , Clark C. ,
  • 66', Piette S. , Duke B. ,
  • 72', Craig B. 🟨,
  • 80', Petrasso L. , Escobar O. ,
  • 80', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 82', Damiani B. , Donovan C. ,
  • 82', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Sullivan C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
64.6%
Draw
20.3%
CF Montréal
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 21% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.54)
    4.63
    (4.43)
    6.38
    (5.75)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 69.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal were as follows:
    03.05.2025 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0
    29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2
    01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2
    03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    10San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 32185948:40859
    3Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    4New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    5Inter Miami ✔ 31168768:521656
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City311410759:441552
    8Chicago Fire321561164:56851
    9Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    13Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)