Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Subaru Park (Chester, PA).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.54
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
82% (325/395)	73% (207/283)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.48	1.36
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
23	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
8	17
Passes
82% (325/395)	73% (207/283)
Long passes
59% (23/39)	40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)	52% (38/73)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.85
Throw-ins
19	23
Fouls
17	8
Tackles
92% (12/13)	53% (10/19)
Duels won
43	50
Clearances
36	32
Interceptions
8	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.36	2.48
Goals prevented
0.36	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Glesnes J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ⚽,
41', Loturi V. 🟨,
42', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Owusu P. ⚽, Waterman J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Herbers F. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Makhanya O. ⚽, Wagner K. (A),
60', Glesnes J. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
60', Baribo T. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
60', Synchuk G. ↓, Clark C. ↑,
66', Piette S. ↓, Duke B. ↑,
72', Craig B. 🟨,
80', Petrasso L. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
80', Bugaj D. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
82', Damiani B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
82', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
86', Sullivan Q. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Philadelphia Union
64.6%

Draw
20.3%

CF Montréal
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)	4.63 ↑ (4.43)	6.38 ↑ (5.75)	5.6% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 69.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
In this match, Philadelphia is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against CF Montréal?

Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Philadelphia Union?

CF Montréal has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal were as follows:

03.05.2025 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 1:2

09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0

29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2

01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2

03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0

Latest results of Philadelphia Union

12.07.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Philadelphia Union - Charlotte 2:1 ✺

Latest results of CF Montréal

12.07.2025 Orlando City - CF Montréal 1:1 ✺

09.07.2025 CF Montréal - Forge 2:2 ✺

05.07.2025 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:4 ✺

25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal 1:3 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	27	16	4	7	52:33	19	52
2	Minnesota United	27	13	8	6	44:30	14	47
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	13	7	6	44:29	15	46
4	Seattle Sounders	26	11	8	7	43:36	7	41
5	Los Angeles FC	24	11	7	6	43:30	13	40
6	Portland Timbers	26	10	7	9	35:37	-2	37
7	Colorado Rapids	27	10	6	11	36:41	-5	36
8	Austin FC	25	9	8	8	24:29	-5	35
9	San Jose Earthquakes	27	8	8	11	50:47	3	32
10	Real Salt Lake	26	9	4	13	27:33	-6	31
11	FC Dallas	26	7	8	11	38:46	-8	29
12	Houston Dynamo	26	7	8	11	33:42	-9	29
13	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	6	14	37:50	-13	24
14	St. Louis City	26	5	6	15	29:44	-15	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	26	3	7	16	29:55	-26	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Cincinnati	27	16	4	7	42:34	8	52
2	Philadelphia Union	27	15	6	6	44:26	18	51
3	Nashville SC	27	14	5	8	44:31	13	47
4	Orlando City	27	13	8	6	53:35	18	47
5	Inter Miami	24	13	6	5	53:39	14	45
6	Columbus Crew	26	12	9	5	42:37	5	45
7	Charlotte	27	14	2	11	45:39	6	44
8	New York City	25	12	5	8	36:30	6	41
9	Chicago Fire	26	11	6	9	50:44	6	39
10	New York Red Bulls	27	11	6	10	42:37	5	39
11	New England Revolution	26	7	7	12	33:37	-4	28
12	Toronto FC	26	5	8	13	27:34	-7	23
13	Atlanta Utd	26	4	10	12	31:49	-18	22
14	CF Montreal	27	4	8	15	25:48	-23	20
15	DC United	27	4	8	15	23:52	-29	20

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)