Changchun Yatai vs Beijing Guoan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
01/11/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.892.74
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
80% (257/320)78% (290/372)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.892.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.324.51
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
2116
Passes
80% (257/320)78% (290/372)
Long passes
48% (23/48)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
69% (77/112)62% (49/79)
Crosses
26% (7/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.45
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
1621
Tackles
69% (9/13)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4451
Clearances
1644
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
4.510.32
Goals prevented
0.510.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', He Yupeng 🟨,
  • 12', Asqer A. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Serginho , Yang Liyu (A),
  • 27', Salazar J. 🟨,
  • 40', Peng Xinli 🟨,
  • 45+11', Abreu F. (Pen),
  • 45+13', 0 - 2, Abreu F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Asqer A. , Tan Long ,
  • 46', Chi Zhongguo , Guga ,
  • 46', Sunzu S. , Zhang Huachen ,
  • 46', Jiang Wenhao , Bai Yang ,
  • 63', He Yupeng , Li Lei ,
  • 63', Serginho , Zhang Yuning ,
  • 73', Xu Haofeng , Xuan Z. ,
  • 73', Cyprien W. , Liu Guobao ,
  • 77', 0 - 3, Zhang Yuning , Abreu F. (A),
  • 78', Omoijuanfo O. , Zhou Junchen ,
  • 79', Yang Liyu , Zhang Xizhe ,
  • 82', 0 - 4, Abreu F. ,
  • 83', Ngadeu M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Changchun Yatai
33%
Draw
23.6%
Beijing Guoan
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 20.4% 58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 19.4% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Yatai's performance.
  • Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Yatai that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (4.34)
    4.08
    (4.51)
    2.19
    (1.58)
    3.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Changchun Yatai (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Changchun Yatai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Abdugheni Abduhamit (Yellow Cards) Wang Yu (Red Card) Wu Yake (Injury)
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Muhmet N. (Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Omoijuanfo O. (Injury) Salazar J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:42. (average 1.2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai 2:1
    28.09.2024 Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai 8:1
    17.05.2024 Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan 3:2
    22.09.2023 Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan 1:1
    02.06.2023 Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai 4:3
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng00000:000
    2Liaoning Tieren00000:000
    3Shenzhen Xinpengcheng00000:000
    4Qingdao West Coast00000:000
    5Dalian Yingbo00000:000
    6Chongqing Tonglianglong00000:000
    7Yunnan Yukun00000:000
    8Beijing Guoan00000:00-5
    9Zhejiang Professional00000:00-5
    10Shanghai Port00000:00-5
    11Wuhan Three Towns00000:00-5
    12Henan Songshan Longmen00000:00-6
    13Shandong Taishan00000:00-6
    14Qingdao Hainiu00000:00-7
    15Shanghai Shenhua00000:00-10
    16Tianjin Jinmen Tiger00000:00-10

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ League One