Chapecoense vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
peruPeruLiga 1 Max
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
27.3%
Draw
30.5%
Corinthians
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 29.7% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 28.8% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Chapecoense - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (3.09)
    3.1
    (3.14)
    2.24
    (2.33)
    5.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Corinthians?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.
    • Corinthians might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) Mancha (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Felipe Longo (Inactive) Hugo (Injury) Yuri Alberto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Marcos Vinicius (Inactive) Mauricio Garcez (Inactive) Robert Conceicao (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    16.03.2026 Chapecoense - Grêmio 1:1
    12.03.2026 São Paulo - Chapecoense 2:0
    25.02.2026 Bahia - Chapecoense Postponed
    Latest results of Corinthians
    15.03.2026 Santos - Corinthians 1:1
    11.03.2026 Corinthians - Coritiba 0:2
    25.02.2026 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 1:1
    22.02.2026 Portuguesa - Corinthians 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras751116:8816
    2Sao Paulo751110:4616
    3Bahia64208:3514
    4Fluminense741212:9313
    5Coritiba74129:6313
    6Flamengo RJ53119:4510
    7Athletico-PR63128:7110
    8Gremio622210:1008
    9Corinthians62226:608
    10Vasco722311:12-18
    11Atletico-MG72238:10-28
    12Bragantino72235:8-38
    13Vitoria52127:8-17
    14Chapecoense-SC51319:906
    15Mirassol61328:9-16
    16Santos713310:13-36
    17Internacional71245:9-45
    18Botafogo RJ51048:11-33
    19Remo60336:11-53
    20Cruzeiro70348:16-83

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet