Cuiabá vs Chapecoense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.33
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
82% (322/394)73% (221/302)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.00
Total shots
169
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
89
Passes
82% (322/394)73% (221/302)
Long passes
41% (20/49)33% (20/60)
Passes in final third
66% (80/121)47% (26/55)
Crosses
25% (7/28)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.25
Throw-ins
3030
Fouls
98
Tackles
91% (10/11)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4440
Clearances
2037
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.86
Goals prevented
0.00-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Calebe Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Juan Christian , Jader ,
  • 61', Marcinho , Italo ,
  • 62', Gabriel Inocencio , Everton ,
  • 62', Neto Pessoa , Pedro Perotti ,
  • 68', David Miguel , De Lucca ,
  • 68', Nino Paraiba , Jadson ,
  • 69', Bruno Alves 🟨,
  • 78', Martinez A. , Carlos Alberto ,
  • 78', Calebe Costa , Nathan Cruz ,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Jader , Max Alves (A),
  • 90', Pedro Martins , Marcinho ,
  • 90', Bruno Leonardo , Romulo ,
  • 90+1', Jhonnathan 🟨,
  • 90+4', De Lucca 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
49%
Draw
28.8%
Chapecoense
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 29.1% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 30.4% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Cuiabá - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.1)
    3.22
    (3.24)
    4.19
    (3.63)
    6.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Matheusinho (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Yellow Cards) Joao Paulo (Yellow Cards) Victor Caetano (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cuiabá: Nathan Pelae (Injury) Sander (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bressan (Injury) Bruno Matias (Injury) Getulio (Injury) Mancha (Knee Injury) Marlon (Inactive) Vinicius Balieiro (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Chapecoense were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Chapecoense - Cuiabá 2:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    17.09.2025 Chapecoense - Brusque 0:0
    10.09.2025 Concórdia - Chapecoense 0:1
    07.09.2025 Criciúma - Chapecoense 2:0
    01.09.2025 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 2:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias32106:337
    2Avai32103:037
    3Operario-PR32103:127
    4Botafogo SP32017:346
    5Nautico32013:216
    6Ceara31204:225
    7Vila Nova FC31205:415
    8Athletic Club31204:315
    9Sport Recife31203:215
    10Londrina31116:514
    11Sao Bernardo31114:404
    12Criciuma31112:204
    13Fortaleza31112:5-34
    14CRB30213:4-12
    15Novorizontino30212:4-22
    16Cuiaba30210:2-22
    17Ponte Preta30122:4-21
    18America MG30123:6-31
    19Juventude30121:4-31
    20Atletico GO30032:5-30

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