Cuiabá vs Chapecoense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Cuiabá - Chapecoense
Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.33
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
82% (322/394)73% (221/302)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.00
Total shots
169
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
89
Passes
82% (322/394)73% (221/302)
Long passes
41% (20/49)33% (20/60)
Passes in final third
66% (80/121)47% (26/55)
Crosses
25% (7/28)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.25
Throw-ins
3030
Fouls
98
Tackles
91% (10/11)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4440
Clearances
2037
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.86
Goals prevented
0.00-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Calebe Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Juan Christian , Jader ,
  • 61', Marcinho , Italo ,
  • 62', Gabriel Inocencio , Everton ,
  • 62', Neto Pessoa , Pedro Perotti ,
  • 68', David Miguel , De Lucca ,
  • 68', Nino Paraiba , Jadson ,
  • 69', Bruno Alves 🟨,
  • 78', Martinez A. , Carlos Alberto ,
  • 78', Calebe Costa , Nathan Cruz ,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Jader , Max Alves (A),
  • 90', Pedro Martins , Marcinho ,
  • 90', Bruno Leonardo , Romulo ,
  • 90+1', Jhonnathan 🟨,
  • 90+4', De Lucca 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
49%
Draw
28.8%
Chapecoense
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 29.1% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 30.4% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Cuiabá - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.1)
    3.22
    (3.24)
    4.19
    (3.63)
    6.8%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Matheusinho (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Yellow Cards) Joao Paulo (Yellow Cards) Victor Caetano (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cuiabá: Nathan Pelae (Injury) Sander (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bressan (Injury) Bruno Matias (Injury) Getulio (Injury) Mancha (Knee Injury) Marlon (Inactive) Vinicius Balieiro (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Chapecoense were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Chapecoense - Cuiabá 2:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    17.09.2025 Chapecoense - Brusque 0:0
    10.09.2025 Concórdia - Chapecoense 0:1
    07.09.2025 Criciúma - Chapecoense 2:0
    01.09.2025 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 2:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias27146733:25848
    2Coritiba27138628:171147
    3Criciuma27137734:211346
    4Novorizontino271110630:25543
    5Athletico-PR27126939:36342
    6Chapecoense-SC271251038:281041
    7Cuiaba27118832:30241
    8Remo27912628:24439
    9Atletico GO27911730:28238
    10CRB271141228:24437
    11Avai27910835:30537
    12Vila Nova FC271061126:28-236
    13Operario-PR2799929:26336
    14Athletic Club27951329:35-632
    15Ferroviaria27711930:34-432
    16America MG27861327:33-630
    17Botafogo SP27781222:39-1729
    18Amazonas27691227:39-1227
    19Volta Redonda27691216:28-1227
    20Paysandu PA274101321:32-1122

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