Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 8
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (216/300) | 83% (428/514) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (216/300) | 83% (428/514) |
| Long passes |
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| 23% (14/61) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 44% (30/68) | 64% (89/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 25% (8/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 38 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Mailton ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pedrinho ↓, Edu ↑,
- 59', Derik Lacerda ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 60', Lucas Mineiro ↓, De Lucca ↑,
- 60', Getulio ↓, Dentinho ↑,
- 65', Bruno Matias 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, De Lucca ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
- 71', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 72', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Mailson ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Italo ⚽,
- 83', Max Alves ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
- 86', Clar W. ↓, Mancha ↑,
- 86', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 90+4', Nathan ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
33.6% | Draw
32.6% | Cuiabá
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Chapecoense - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.28) |
2.87 ↓
(3.2) |
2.77 ↓
(3) |
7%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.
- Chapecoense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cuiabá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Felipe Vieira
(Injury)
Romulo
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Inactive)
Denilson Alves
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Cuiabá?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Chapecoense?
Cuiabá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Cuiabá were as follows:
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
