Chapecoense vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Ferroviária
Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 12
  • Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.71
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
77% (241/311)85% (463/542)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.46
Total shots
717
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1116
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
817
Passes
77% (241/311)85% (463/542)
Long passes
48% (31/64)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
59% (41/70)72% (89/123)
Crosses
21% (3/14)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.63
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
178
Tackles
36% (5/14)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.460.97
Goals prevented
-0.54-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Marcinho , Mailton (A),
  • 42', Victor Caetano 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Marcinho ,
  • 61', Thiago Lopes , Juninho ,
  • 61', Ricardinho , Alencar ,
  • 65', Neto Pessoa , Mailson ,
  • 65', Victor Caetano , Jhonnathan ,
  • 73', Edson Lucas , Kevin ,
  • 73', Thayllon , Ronaldo ,
  • 74', Eduardo Doma , Everton ,
  • 74', Giovanni Augusto , Italo ,
  • 77', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Juninho ,
  • 84', Marcinho , Marlon ,
  • 85', Netinho , Ian Luccas ,
  • 90+4', Italo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
43.1%
Draw
32.7%
Ferroviária
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 30% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 29.1% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Chapecoense - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2)
    2.85
    (3.07)
    3.84
    (3.83)
    7.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: Chapecoense will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chapecoense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chapecoense could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Getulio (Injury) Joao Paulo (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Eric Melo (Yellow Cards) Quirino (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba25137528:161246
    2Goias24135631:23844
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Remo25911527:22538
    6Novorizontino2499626:23336
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Atletico GO24710726:26031
    14Ferroviaria25710827:30-331
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Volta Redonda25681116:27-1126
    18America MG24741325:32-725
    19Amazonas25591126:37-1124
    20Paysandu PA25491221:31-1021

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