Chapecoense vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Ferroviária
Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 12
  • Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.71
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
77% (241/311)85% (463/542)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.46
Total shots
717
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1116
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
817
Passes
77% (241/311)85% (463/542)
Long passes
48% (31/64)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
59% (41/70)72% (89/123)
Crosses
21% (3/14)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.63
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
178
Tackles
36% (5/14)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.460.97
Goals prevented
-0.54-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Marcinho , Mailton (A),
  • 42', Victor Caetano 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Marcinho ,
  • 61', Thiago Lopes , Juninho ,
  • 61', Ricardinho , Alencar ,
  • 65', Neto Pessoa , Mailson ,
  • 65', Victor Caetano , Jhonnathan ,
  • 73', Edson Lucas , Kevin ,
  • 73', Thayllon , Ronaldo ,
  • 74', Eduardo Doma , Everton ,
  • 74', Giovanni Augusto , Italo ,
  • 77', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Juninho ,
  • 84', Marcinho , Marlon ,
  • 85', Netinho , Ian Luccas ,
  • 90+4', Italo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
43.1%
Draw
32.7%
Ferroviária
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 30% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 29.1% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Chapecoense - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2)
    2.85
    (3.07)
    3.84
    (3.83)
    7.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: Chapecoense will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chapecoense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chapecoense could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Getulio (Injury) Joao Paulo (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Eric Melo (Yellow Cards) Quirino (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1897223:121134
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Cuiaba1884622:21128
    6Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    7Remo1768319:15426
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    17Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1746712:20-818

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