Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 12
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (241/311) | 85% (463/542) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (241/311) | 85% (463/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/64) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (41/70) | 72% (89/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽, Mailton (A),
- 42', Victor Caetano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 0, Marcinho ⚽,
- 61', Thiago Lopes ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 61', Ricardinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 65', Neto Pessoa ↓, Mailson ↑,
- 65', Victor Caetano ↓, Jhonnathan ↑,
- 73', Edson Lucas ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 73', Thayllon ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 74', Eduardo Doma ↓, Everton ↑,
- 74', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Italo ↑,
- 77', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
- 84', Marcinho ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 85', Netinho ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 90+4', Italo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
43.1% | Draw
32.7% | Ferroviária
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1%)
Chapecoense - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2) |
2.85 ↓
(3.07) |
3.84 ↑
(3.83) |
7.3%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
Chapecoense will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chapecoense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Chapecoense could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Joao Paulo
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Yellow Cards)
Quirino
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Ferroviária?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Chapecoense?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 7 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
