Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 12
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 0.71 |
Ball Possession |
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37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Passes |
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77% (241/311) | 85% (463/542) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 0.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.97 | 0.46 |
Total shots |
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7 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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11 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 17 |
Passes |
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77% (241/311) | 85% (463/542) |
Long passes |
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48% (31/64) | 49% (25/51) |
Passes in final third |
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59% (41/70) | 72% (89/123) |
Crosses |
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21% (3/14) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.04 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 21 |
Fouls |
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17 | 8 |
Tackles |
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36% (5/14) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
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42 | 49 |
Clearances |
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23 | 16 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.46 | 0.97 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.54 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽, Mailton (A),
- 42', Victor Caetano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 0, Marcinho ⚽,
- 61', Thiago Lopes ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 61', Ricardinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 65', Neto Pessoa ↓, Mailson ↑,
- 65', Victor Caetano ↓, Jhonnathan ↑,
- 73', Edson Lucas ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 73', Thayllon ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 74', Eduardo Doma ↓, Everton ↑,
- 74', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Italo ↑,
- 77', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
- 84', Marcinho ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 85', Netinho ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 90+4', Italo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense 43.1% | Draw 32.7% | Ferroviária 24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1%)
Chapecoense - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2) |
2.85 ↓ (3.07) |
3.84 ↑ (3.83) |
7.3% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
Chapecoense will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chapecoense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Chapecoense could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Joao Paulo
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Yellow Cards)
Quirino
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Ferroviária?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Chapecoense?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
3 | Novorizontino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
6 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )