Result
0:2
16/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/451) | 78% (206/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/451) | 78% (206/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (79/122) | 62% (40/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.08 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 16', Rafael Carvalheira 🟨,
- 18', Matheus Vargas 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Mailton ⚽, Rafael Carvalheira (A),
- 35', 0 - 2, Joao Paulo ⚽,
- 40', Quintana Y. ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 45+4', Andre Lima 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Joao Paulo ↓, Eduardo Doma ↑,
- 46', Andre Lima ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
- 46', Rossi ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 65', Matheus Vargas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
- 66', Marlon Douglas ↓, Giovanni ↑,
- 68', Eduardo Person ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 75', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 75', Mailton ↓, Everton ↑,
- 90+1', Italo ↓, Mailson ↑,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
53.7% | Draw
26.2% | Chapecoense
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1%)
Paysandu - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.81) |
3.56 ↑
(3.51) |
4.67 ↑
(4.34) |
6.7%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.
- In this match Paysandu is a favorite.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn
(Knee Injury)
Nicolas
(Inactive)
Rossi
(Inactive)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Chapecoense?
Paysandu has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Paysandu?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Chapecoense were as follows:
09.10.2024
Paysandu
-
Chapecoense
2:0
23.06.2024
Chapecoense
-
Paysandu
1:2
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
