Chapecoense vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Paysandu
Result
2:0
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 22
  • Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.97
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2021
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
710
Passes
87% (349/402)83% (288/349)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.97
xG on target (xGOT)
2.120.28
Total shots
2021
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
99
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
911
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
710
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
711
Passes
87% (349/402)83% (288/349)
Long passes
48% (23/48)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
72% (73/102)73% (74/101)
Crosses
24% (5/21)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.54
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
117
Tackles
100% (6/6)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3039
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.282.12
Goals prevented
0.280.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Clar W. , Mailton (A),
  • 45+2', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leandro Vilela , Ronaldo Henrique ,
  • 46', Bruno Leonardo , Victor Caetano ,
  • 55', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Clar W. ,
  • 58', Benitez J. , Diogo Oliveira ,
  • 58', Marlon Douglas , Delvalle P. ,
  • 67', Thiago Heleno 🟨,
  • 69', Giovanni Augusto , Italo ,
  • 69', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 70', Marcinho , Jorge Jimenez ,
  • 75', Luan Freitas , Edilson ,
  • 75', Denner , Marcelinho ,
  • 78', Leo Vieira 🟨,
  • 81', Leo Vieira , Rafael Santos ,
  • 88', Mailton , Gabriel Inocencio ,
  • 90+7', Victor Caetano 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
47.8%
Draw
30.5%
Paysandu
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 28.3% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 27.4% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Chapecoense - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.8)
    3.07
    (3.3)
    4.29
    (4.75)
    7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Chapecoense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paysandu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chapecoense is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive) Everton (Inactive) Jhonnathan (Inactive) Mancha (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Matheus Vargas (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo (Injury) Getulio (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edinho (Knee Injury) Rossi (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Paysandu were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Paysandu - Chapecoense 0:2
    09.10.2024 Paysandu - Chapecoense 2:0
    23.06.2024 Chapecoense - Paysandu 1:2
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Paysandu
    11.08.2025 Paysandu - Vila Nova 0:1
    28.07.2025 Paysandu - Athletic Club 1:1
    23.07.2025 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:1
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba25137528:161246
    2Goias24135631:23844
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Remo25911527:22538
    6Novorizontino2499626:23336
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Atletico GO24710726:26031
    14Ferroviaria25710827:30-331
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Volta Redonda25681116:27-1126
    18America MG24741325:32-725
    19Amazonas25591126:37-1124
    20Paysandu PA25491221:31-1021

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )