Result
2:0
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 22
- Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (349/402) | 83% (288/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (349/402) | 83% (288/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 54% (26/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (73/102) | 73% (74/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Clar W. ⚽, Mailton (A),
- 45+2', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leandro Vilela ↓, Ronaldo Henrique ↑,
- 46', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Victor Caetano ↑,
- 55', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Clar W. ⚽,
- 58', Benitez J. ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
- 58', Marlon Douglas ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
- 67', Thiago Heleno 🟨,
- 69', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Italo ↑,
- 69', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 70', Marcinho ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 75', Luan Freitas ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 75', Denner ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 78', Leo Vieira 🟨,
- 81', Leo Vieira ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
- 88', Mailton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
- 90+7', Victor Caetano 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
47.8% | Draw
30.5% | Paysandu
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Chapecoense - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.8) |
3.07 ↓
(3.3) |
4.29 ↓
(4.75) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Chapecoense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paysandu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chapecoense is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Everton
(Inactive)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
Mancha
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Matheus Vargas
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo
(Injury)
Getulio
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Rossi
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Paysandu?
Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Chapecoense?
Paysandu has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Paysandu were as follows:
16.04.2025
Paysandu
-
Chapecoense
0:2
09.10.2024
Paysandu
-
Chapecoense
2:0
23.06.2024
Chapecoense
-
Paysandu
1:2
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
