Chapecoense vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Paysandu
Result
2:0
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 22
  • Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.97
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2021
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
710
Passes
87% (349/402)83% (288/349)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.97
xG on target (xGOT)
2.120.28
Total shots
2021
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
99
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
911
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
710
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
711
Passes
87% (349/402)83% (288/349)
Long passes
48% (23/48)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
72% (73/102)73% (74/101)
Crosses
24% (5/21)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.54
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
117
Tackles
100% (6/6)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3039
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.282.12
Goals prevented
0.280.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Clar W. , Mailton (A),
  • 45+2', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leandro Vilela , Ronaldo Henrique ,
  • 46', Bruno Leonardo , Victor Caetano ,
  • 55', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Clar W. ,
  • 58', Benitez J. , Diogo Oliveira ,
  • 58', Marlon Douglas , Delvalle P. ,
  • 67', Thiago Heleno 🟨,
  • 69', Giovanni Augusto , Italo ,
  • 69', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 70', Marcinho , Jorge Jimenez ,
  • 75', Luan Freitas , Edilson ,
  • 75', Denner , Marcelinho ,
  • 78', Leo Vieira 🟨,
  • 81', Leo Vieira , Rafael Santos ,
  • 88', Mailton , Gabriel Inocencio ,
  • 90+7', Victor Caetano 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
47.8%
Draw
30.5%
Paysandu
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 28.3% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 27.4% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Chapecoense - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.8)
    3.07
    (3.3)
    4.29
    (4.75)
    7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Chapecoense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paysandu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chapecoense is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive) Everton (Inactive) Jhonnathan (Inactive) Mancha (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Matheus Vargas (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo (Injury) Getulio (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edinho (Knee Injury) Rossi (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Paysandu were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Paysandu - Chapecoense 0:2
    09.10.2024 Paysandu - Chapecoense 2:0
    23.06.2024 Chapecoense - Paysandu 1:2
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Paysandu
    11.08.2025 Paysandu - Vila Nova 0:1
    28.07.2025 Paysandu - Athletic Club 1:1
    23.07.2025 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:1
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma28147736:211549
    2Goias28147734:26849
    3Coritiba28138728:19947
    4Novorizontino281210631:25646
    5Athletico-PR28136942:36645
    6Cuiaba28119834:32242
    7Chapecoense-SC281251138:29941
    8Atletico GO281011731:28341
    9CRB281241231:26540
    10Avai281010836:30640
    11Operario-PR28109931:27439
    12Remo28912729:26339
    13Vila Nova FC281071128:30-237
    14Ferroviaria28712931:35-433
    15Athletic Club28951429:38-932
    16America MG28861427:34-730
    17Volta Redonda28791218:29-1130
    18Botafogo SP28781324:42-1829
    19Amazonas28691328:41-1327
    20Paysandu PA284101421:33-1222

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )