Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine
Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.68
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
87% (437/501)85% (339/401)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.60
Total shots
208
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
3424
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
129
Passes
87% (437/501)85% (339/401)
Long passes
59% (22/37)68% (30/44)
Passes in final third
82% (128/156)74% (104/140)
Crosses
60% (12/20)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
2.010.53
Throw-ins
1210
Fouls
912
Tackles
64% (7/11)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4234
Clearances
3026
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.601.02
Goals prevented
-0.400.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Ngah F. , Bakero J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', James N. , Wada M. ,
  • 49', Green K. 🟨,
  • 63', Langlois P. , Lopez M. ,
  • 63', Varela W. , Wright O. ,
  • 63', Bakero J. , Pedro Fonseca ,
  • 63', Ngah F. , Ousmanou P. ,
  • 64', Ciss O. , Jaime C. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Messer N. ,
  • 71', Jauregui R. , Chaney C. ,
  • 81', Washington T. , Keegan J. ,
  • 82', Ndiaye B. , Agurcia S. ,
  • 84', Quinones C. , Mohamed M. ,
  • 88', Dimick C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
43.9%
Draw
27.2%
Portland Hearts of Pine
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.7% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 27.6% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.34)
    3.37
    (3.35)
    3.18
    (2.85)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Charlotte Ind is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hearts of Pine has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Charlotte Ind will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves20117233:191440
    2Spokane Velocity19115327:161138
    3One Knoxville1997327:171034
    4FC Naples2096528:23533
    5Charlotte Independ2187636:34231
    6AV Alta2178631:29229
    7Texoma2167828:35-725
    8Union Omaha20731028:31-324
    9Greenville2166929:31-224
    10Portland Hearts of Pine1749418:17121
    11Richmond Kickers21551128:35-720
    12Tormenta21551129:40-1120
    13Forward Madison20310717:22-519
    14Westchester SC1937929:39-1016

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