Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
30/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.16
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
76% (277/363)79% (348/439)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.881.26
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
612
Passes
76% (277/363)79% (348/439)
Long passes
44% (26/59)52% (41/79)
Passes in final third
61% (67/110)64% (70/109)
Crosses
11% (1/9)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.64
Throw-ins
2031
Fouls
137
Tackles
77% (20/26)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5349
Clearances
3120
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.261.88
Goals prevented
-0.74-2.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Wada M. , Wright O. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Spielman N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', Ciss O. 🟨,
  • 63', Varela W. , Kamara J. ,
  • 66', Marou S. , Chaney C. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Vinberg S. , Kamara J. (A),
  • 74', Moshobane T. , Moreno J. ,
  • 74', Bakero J. , Jauregui R. ,
  • 75', Ciss O. , Jaime C. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Kamara J. , Wright O. (A),
  • 81', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 83', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 83', Poon-Angeron M. , Langlois P. ,
  • 84', Kvifte N. H. , Southern E. ,
  • 86', Sorenson A. , Ousmanou P. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Wright O. , Southern E. (A),
  • 88', Wright O. , Reilly M. ,
  • 88', Wada M. , James N. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 2, Moreno J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
41.9%
Draw
26.8%
Charlotte Independence
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 26.6% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 26.6% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.39)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    2.95
    (2.7)
    8.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine 1:1
    Latest results of Charlotte Independence
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1One Knoxville (1)Charlotte Independ. (8)2 : 1
    2FC Naples (4)Union Omaha (5)1 : 0
    3Spokane Velocity (3)Tormenta (6)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves (2)Portland Hearts of Pine (7)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1One Knoxville (1)FC Naples (4)1 : 0
    2Spokane Velocity (3)Portland Hearts of Pine (7)3 : 2

    Final
    1One Knoxville (1)Spokane Velocity (3)2 : 0