Nashville SC vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.37
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
84% (363/431)87% (470/541)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.821.11
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
2921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
912
Passes
84% (363/431)87% (470/541)
Long passes
48% (13/27)59% (37/63)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)75% (100/134)
Crosses
15% (4/27)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.72
Throw-ins
159
Fouls
129
Tackles
67% (10/15)36% (4/11)
Duels won
3634
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.111.82
Goals prevented
0.11-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Palacios J. 🟨,
  • 44', Lovitz D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Abada L. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Mukhtar H. , Muyl A. (A), Yazbek P. (A2)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Shaffelburg J. , Najar A. (A), Yazbek P. (A2)
  • 58', Yazbek P. 🟨,
  • 67', Agyemang P. , Toklomati I. ,
  • 67', Biel P. , Williamson E. ,
  • 73', Toklomati I. 🟨,
  • 75', Shaffelburg J. , Qasem A. ,
  • 78', Abada L. , Calderon Vargas K. A. ,
  • 78', Bronico B. , Diani D. ,
  • 79', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 82', Yazbek P. , Acosta B. ,
  • 90+1', Scardina N. , Tavares I. ,
  • 90+3', Muyl A. , Brugman G. ,
  • 90+3', Mukhtar H. , Bauer J. ,

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
52.4%
Draw
25.3%
Charlotte
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 25.7% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.5% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.
  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nashville SC - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.25)
    3.74
    (3.72)
    4.25
    (3)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Charlotte?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 50%). Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Nashville (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Charlotte (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • Nashville is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Charlotte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Zimmerman W. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Berchimas N. (Foot Injury) Byrne N. (Neck Injury) Cambridge B. (Hamstring Injury) Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury) Forbes J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Charlotte were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Charlotte - Nashville SC 2:1
    11.05.2024 Charlotte - Nashville SC 1:0
    16.03.2024 Nashville SC - Charlotte 2:1
    02.09.2023 Nashville SC - Charlotte 1:1
    20.05.2023 Charlotte - Nashville SC 1:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of Charlotte
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

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