Nashville SC vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.37
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
84% (363/431)87% (470/541)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.821.11
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
2921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
912
Passes
84% (363/431)87% (470/541)
Long passes
48% (13/27)59% (37/63)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)75% (100/134)
Crosses
15% (4/27)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.72
Throw-ins
159
Fouls
129
Tackles
67% (10/15)36% (4/11)
Duels won
3634
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.111.82
Goals prevented
0.11-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Palacios J. 🟨,
  • 44', Lovitz D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Abada L. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Mukhtar H. , Muyl A. (A), Yazbek P. (A2)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Shaffelburg J. , Najar A. (A), Yazbek P. (A2)
  • 58', Yazbek P. 🟨,
  • 67', Agyemang P. , Toklomati I. ,
  • 67', Biel P. , Williamson E. ,
  • 73', Toklomati I. 🟨,
  • 75', Shaffelburg J. , Qasem A. ,
  • 78', Abada L. , Calderon Vargas K. A. ,
  • 78', Bronico B. , Diani D. ,
  • 79', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 82', Yazbek P. , Acosta B. ,
  • 90+1', Scardina N. , Tavares I. ,
  • 90+3', Muyl A. , Brugman G. ,
  • 90+3', Mukhtar H. , Bauer J. ,

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
52.4%
Draw
25.3%
Charlotte
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 25.7% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.5% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.
  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nashville SC - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.25)
    3.74
    (3.72)
    4.25
    (3)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Charlotte?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 50%). Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Nashville (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Charlotte (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • Nashville is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Charlotte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Zimmerman W. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Berchimas N. (Foot Injury) Byrne N. (Neck Injury) Cambridge B. (Hamstring Injury) Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury) Forbes J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Charlotte were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Charlotte - Nashville SC 2:1
    11.05.2024 Charlotte - Nashville SC 1:0
    16.03.2024 Nashville SC - Charlotte 2:1
    02.09.2023 Nashville SC - Charlotte 1:1
    20.05.2023 Charlotte - Nashville SC 1:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of Charlotte
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)