Chattanooga vs Cincinnati 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
21/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.69
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
79% (311/394)86% (369/428)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.44
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
79% (311/394)86% (369/428)
Long passes
44% (28/63)46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
49% (43/88)69% (68/99)
Crosses
20% (1/5)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.21
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1116
Tackles
50% (6/12)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3746
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.441.06
Goals prevented
0.441.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', James J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Screen R. 🟨,
  • 49', Garvanian M. 🟨,
  • 65', James J. , Kwak Min-Jae ,
  • 65', Ortiz D. , Thomas C. ,
  • 66', Daley A. 🟨,
  • 68', del Valle Y. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 74', Davila A. , Locker C. ,
  • 79', Mangarov D. , Dudley E. ,
  • 79', Screen R. , Brown L. ,
  • 79', Koehler N. , Ibarra J. ,
  • 89', Mangione P. , Augee B. ,
  • 89', Kuisel W. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 90+2', Sar-Sar F. 🟨,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Naglestad M. (Pen),
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 2, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 2, Schaefer B. (Pen),
  • 3, Garvanian M. (Pen),
  • 3, Augee B. (Pen),
  • 4, Kwak Min-Jae (Pen),
  • 4, Locker C. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Adnan N. (Pen),
  • 6, Ibarra J. (Pen),
  • 6, Jimenez S. (Pen),
  • 7, Dudley E. (Pen),
  • 7, Daley A. (Pen),
  • 8, Louis S. (Pen),
  • 8, Chirila A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
46.9%
Draw
24.3%
Cincinnati 2
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.1% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 24.5% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.78)
    3.82
    (3.66)
    3.22
    (4)
    7.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Cincinnati 2 (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Chattanooga is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 3:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

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