Result
0:0
21/01/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 18
- Referee: Melo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Chaves 31.7% | Draw 29.6% | Rio Ave 38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Chaves - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.99 ↑ (2.66) |
3.21 ↓ (3.24) |
2.47 ↓ (2.68) |
5% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chaves - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 23.2% – 63.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1.
- Chaves has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Rio Ave is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Chaves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Chaves: Guima
(National selection)
Langa B.
(National selection)
Sylla H.
(Injury)
Ygor Nogueira
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Andre Pereira
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-25.
- Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Rio Ave?
Chaves has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Chaves?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Rio Ave were as follows:
13.08.2023
Rio Ave
-
Chaves
2:0
26.02.2023
Rio Ave
-
Chaves
1:0
05.09.2022
Chaves
-
Rio Ave
1:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
11 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
13 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
14 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
15 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2