Chelsea vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
5:1
22/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, Supersport Action, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, Viaplay 1 Urheilu
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max, TV8
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ Sport 3
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 3, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 2, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.541.05
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
222
Shots on target
101
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
92% (556/602)77% (241/313)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.541.05
xG on target (xGOT)
3.370.66
Total shots
222
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
80
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
398
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
615
Passes
92% (556/602)77% (241/313)
Long passes
65% (11/17)27% (15/56)
Passes in final third
87% (215/246)41% (12/29)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.20
Throw-ins
613
Fouls
156
Tackles
57% (8/14)39% (9/23)
Duels won
3750
Clearances
725
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.663.37
Goals prevented
-0.34-1.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 15', Taylor K. 🟥,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Guiu M. ⚽, Fofana W. (A),
  • 23', Gloukh O. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Caicedo M. ⚽, Gittens J. (A),
  • 31', Adarabioyo T. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Weghorst W. (Pen),
  • 45', 3 - 1, Fernandez E. (Pen),
  • 45+5', Weghorst W. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 4 - 1, Estêvão (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
  • 46', Guiu M. ↓, George T. ↑,
  • 46', Adarabioyo T. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
  • 46', Weghorst W. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
  • 48', 5 - 1, George T. ⚽,
  • 49', Caicedo M. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
  • 56', Estêvão 🟨,
  • 66', Lavia R. ↓, Walsh R. ↑,
  • 79', McConnell J. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
  • 84', Rosa L. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
  • 84', Godts M. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
82.4%		Draw
12%		Ajax
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.8% 14.6% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.
  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
    •

    Chelsea - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.23 ↓
    (1.26)    		 8.98 ↑
    (6.54)    		 20.7 ↑
    (10.05)    		 -2.7%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 76 - 93.8%). Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 88.5% – 99.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.75 - Ajax (1.71) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Ajax (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Chelsea (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (35 of 35 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 36 - 81.8%). Ajax (votes: 8 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Chelsea is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ajax's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Muscle Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Joao Pedro (Red Card) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Groin Injury) Slonina G. (Inactive) Sterling R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Fernandez E. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Chelsea won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.
    Latest results of Chelsea
    18.10.2025 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    04.10.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 2:1 ✺
    30.09.2025 Chelsea - Benfica 1:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:3 ✺
    23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Ajax
    18.10.2025 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 0:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 3:3 ✺
    30.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 2:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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