Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 5
- Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (181/288) | 56% (158/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (181/288) | 56% (158/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (26/81) | 35% (30/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (60/120) | 49% (68/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Hartigan A. 🟨,
- 52', Hartigan A. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
- 53', Galvin R. ↓, Osadebe E. ↑,
- 58', Mazionis J. 🟨,
- 60', Thomas J. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Hawkins O. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
- 65', Power D. ↓, Angol L. ↑,
- 73', Stead C. ↓, Adeniran D. ↑,
- 73', Hawkins O. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 78', Osadebe E. 🟥,
- 80', Kinsella L. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 80', Harmon G. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 80', Bakare I. ↓, Barber M. ↑,
- 87', Kanu I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town
25% | Draw
26.7% | Barnet
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cheltenham Town - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.73 ↑
(2.6) |
3.52 ↑
(3.25) |
1.99 ↓
(2.7) |
5.4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnet will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Barnet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Barnet?
Cheltenham Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Cheltenham Town?
Barnet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Barnet were as follows:
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Bromley | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Crewe | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Swindon | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Walsall | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Salford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Notts Co | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 | Harrogate | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Barnet | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Colchester | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | Barrow | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Oldham | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Newport | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 21 | Accrington | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Crawley | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 2 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
