Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

EFL Trophy
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.30	1.04
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
4	11
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
76% (314/412)	76% (335/443)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30	1.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.63	0.42
Total shots
4	11
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
1	6
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
10	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
21	10
Passes
76% (314/412)	76% (335/443)
Long passes
43% (32/74)	37% (24/65)
Passes in final third
50% (36/72)	67% (107/159)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	47% (9/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.13	0.78
Throw-ins
27	28
Fouls
10	21
Tackles
58% (11/19)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
71	57
Clearances
33	14
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.42	0.63
Goals prevented
-0.58	0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Negru S. ↓, Ellison D. ↑,
46', Cavegn F. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Thomas L. ⚽, Sotiriou R. (A),
62', Bilongo B. ↓, Sparkes J. ↑,
72', Thomas L. ↓, Hill K. ↑,
78', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
79', Backwell T. ↓, King T. ↑,
86', Pell H. ↓, Tustin H. ↑,

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
30.4%

Draw
25.7%

Bristol Rovers
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

25.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.76)	3.53 ↓ (3.57)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)	7.7% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers?

Users Predictions: Bristol Rovers will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.
Recent performances by Cheltenham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bristol Rovers is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Cheltenham Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

13.04.2024 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 1:3

09.12.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 1:1

05.09.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 4:1

01.01.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 2:1

15.10.2022 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 1:4

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

04.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town 7:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Salford City 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Colchester United - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Barrow 2:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Newport County - Bristol Rovers 2:3 ✺

English EFL Trophy Table

2025/26

Group 1

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Salford	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
2	Stockport County	2	1	0	0	1	6:6	3
3	Wolves U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:6	3
4	Wigan	2	0	0	0	2	1:4	0

Group 2

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	0	7:1	6
2	Tranmere	2	1	1	0	0	4:3	5
3	Nottingham U21	2	0	0	1	1	3:4	1
4	Barrow	2	0	0	0	2	1:7	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bradford City	2	2	0	0	0	7:2	6
2	Doncaster	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
3	Grimsby	2	0	0	0	2	1:5	0
4	Everton U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	0	6:0	6
2	Barnsley	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Notts Co	2	1	0	0	1	2:4	3
4	Manchester Utd U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:8	0

Group 5

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bolton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Manchester City U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Rotherham	2	1	0	0	1	3:3	3
4	Oldham	2	0	0	0	2	3:8	0

Group 6

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Harrogate	2	2	0	0	0	2:0	6
2	Huddersfield	2	1	0	0	1	6:3	3
3	Newcastle Utd U21	2	0	1	0	1	4:8	2
4	Mansfield	2	0	0	1	1	2:3	1

Group 7

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Port Vale	2	2	0	0	0	6:1	6
2	Fleetwood	2	1	1	0	0	6:2	5
3	Accrington	2	0	0	1	1	2:4	1
4	Leeds U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:8	0

Group 8

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crewe	2	2	0	0	0	9:1	6
2	Burton	2	1	0	0	1	2:1	3
3	Chesterfield	2	1	0	0	1	2:7	3
4	Liverpool U21	2	0	0	0	2	0:4	0

Group 9

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Arsenal U21	1	1	0	0	0	2:1	3
2	Newport	2	1	0	0	1	2:2	3
3	Cardiff	2	1	0	0	1	1:1	3
4	Exeter	1	0	0	0	1	0:1	0

Group 10

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Plymouth	2	2	0	0	0	8:2	6
2	Bristol Rovers	2	1	1	0	0	5:4	5
3	Tottenham U21	2	0	0	1	1	6:10	1
4	Cheltenham	2	0	0	0	2	0:3	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Northampton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Walsall	2	1	0	0	1	3:2	3
3	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	0	1	4:4	3
4	Chelsea U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 12

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Reading	3	2	0	0	1	6:4	6
2	West Ham U21	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Swindon	1	1	0	0	0	3:2	3
4	MK Dons	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 13

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Stevenage	3	3	0	0	0	12:4	9
2	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	0	0	1	4:6	3
3	Bromley	2	0	1	0	1	4:5	2
4	Crystal Palace U21	3	0	0	1	2	6:11	1

Group 14

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Leyton Orient	2	2	0	0	0	5:2	6
2	Crawley	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Peterborough	2	1	0	0	1	5:5	3
4	Aston Villa U21	2	0	0	0	2	4:8	0

Group 15

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Colchester	2	2	0	0	0	4:2	6
2	Gillingham	2	1	0	0	1	5:3	3
3	Wycombe	2	1	0	0	1	4:3	3
4	Fulham U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 16

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Barnet	3	1	1	0	1	5:7	5
2	Luton	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Cambridge Utd	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
4	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	0	1:1	1