Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 17
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (191/310) | 67% (239/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (191/310) | 67% (239/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (20/77) | 32% (28/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (46/85) | 59% (85/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Wilson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Taylor T. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
- 63', Stevenson B. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 67', Harrison E. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 67', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 0, Tomkinson J. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
- 76', Negru S. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 76', Chang A. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
- 79', Thomas J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Thomas J. ↓, Power D. ↑,
- 90+4', Conteh K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Adelakun H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town 30.3% | Draw 26.8% | Bristol Rovers 42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.06 ↑ (2.9) |
3.48 (3.48) |
2.2 ↓ (2.25) |
7% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bennett S.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Inactive)
Mazionis J.
(Inactive)
Miller G.
(Inactive)
Young L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A.
(Inactive)
McEachran J.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Backwell T.
(Inactive)
Jude-Boyd A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Bristol Rovers?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Cheltenham Town?
Bristol Rovers has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
07.10.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
13.04.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Bristol Rovers
1:3
09.12.2023
Bristol Rovers
-
Cheltenham Town
1:1
05.09.2023
Bristol Rovers
-
Cheltenham Town
4:1
01.01.2023
Bristol Rovers
-
Cheltenham Town
2:1
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League