Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 17
Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.11
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
4	17
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
62% (191/310)	67% (239/358)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	0.19
Total shots
4	17
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked Shots
1	7
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
2	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
12	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
62% (191/310)	67% (239/358)
Long passes
26% (20/77)	32% (28/88)
Passes in final third
54% (46/85)	59% (85/145)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	30% (9/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.89
Throw-ins
29	28
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
76% (13/17)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
58	54
Clearances
57	19
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
0.19	0.72
Goals prevented
0.19	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Wilson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Taylor T. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
63', Stevenson B. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
67', Harrison E. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
67', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Tomkinson J. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
76', Negru S. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
76', Chang A. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
79', Thomas J. 🟨,
90+2', Thomas J. ↓, Power D. ↑,
90+4', Conteh K. 🟨,
90+5', Adelakun H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
30.3%

Draw
26.8%

Bristol Rovers
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.4%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	3.48 (3.48)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)	7% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Bennett S. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Inactive) Mazionis J. (Inactive) Miller G. (Inactive) Young L. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Backwell T. (Inactive) Jude-Boyd A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Cheltenham Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

07.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1

13.04.2024 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 1:3

09.12.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 1:1

05.09.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 4:1

01.01.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 2:1

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

15.11.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town 3:2 ✺

10.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 1:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bradford City 1:0 ✺

28.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Tottenham Hotspur U21 3:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

15.11.2025 Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

11.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Gillingham 0:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Bromley - Bristol Rovers 1:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League