Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 17
Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.11
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
4	17
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
62% (191/310)	67% (239/358)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	0.19
Total shots
4	17
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked Shots
1	7
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
2	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
12	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
62% (191/310)	67% (239/358)
Long passes
26% (20/77)	32% (28/88)
Passes in final third
54% (46/85)	59% (85/145)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	30% (9/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.89
Throw-ins
29	28
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
76% (13/17)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
58	54
Clearances
57	19
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
0.19	0.72
Goals prevented
0.19	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Wilson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Taylor T. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
63', Stevenson B. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
67', Harrison E. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
67', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Tomkinson J. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
76', Negru S. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
76', Chang A. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
79', Thomas J. 🟨,
90+2', Thomas J. ↓, Power D. ↑,
90+4', Conteh K. 🟨,
90+5', Adelakun H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
30.3%

Draw
26.8%

Bristol Rovers
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.4%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	3.48 (3.48)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)	7% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Bennett S. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Inactive) Mazionis J. (Inactive) Miller G. (Inactive) Young L. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Backwell T. (Inactive) Jude-Boyd A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Cheltenham Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

07.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1

13.04.2024 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 1:3

09.12.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 1:1

05.09.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 4:1

01.01.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 2:1

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

15.11.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town 3:2 ✺

10.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Notts County 1:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bradford City 1:0 ✺

28.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Tottenham Hotspur U21 3:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

15.11.2025 Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

11.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Gillingham 0:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Bromley - Bristol Rovers 1:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League