Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 17
  • Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.11
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
417
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
62% (191/310)67% (239/358)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.19
Total shots
417
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
62% (191/310)67% (239/358)
Long passes
26% (20/77)32% (28/88)
Passes in final third
54% (46/85)59% (85/145)
Crosses
20% (3/15)30% (9/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.89
Throw-ins
2928
Fouls
1311
Tackles
76% (13/17)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5854
Clearances
5719
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.190.72
Goals prevented
0.19-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Wilson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Taylor T. , Adelakun H. ,
  • 63', Stevenson B. , Martin J. ,
  • 67', Harrison E. , Dewsbury O. ,
  • 67', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Tomkinson J. , Thomas J. (A),
  • 76', Negru S. , Thomas L. ,
  • 76', Chang A. , Issaka F. ,
  • 79', Thomas J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Thomas J. , Power D. ,
  • 90+4', Conteh K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Adelakun H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
30.3%
Draw
26.8%
Bristol Rovers
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 26.4% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.9)
    3.48
    (3.48)
    2.2
    (2.25)
    7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Bennett S. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Inactive) Mazionis J. (Inactive) Miller G. (Inactive) Young L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Backwell T. (Inactive) Jude-Boyd A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    07.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1
    13.04.2024 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 1:3
    09.12.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 1:1
    05.09.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 4:1
    01.01.2023 Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town 2:1
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League