Result
1:3
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (339/434) | 67% (224/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (339/434) | 67% (224/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 29% (22/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (100/145) | 60% (75/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Miller G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 1, Smith N. ⚽,
- 64', 1 - 2, Joseph J. ⚽, Negru S. (A),
- 66', Miller G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 66', Martin J. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 77', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 77', Deeming C. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
- 83', Woolery K. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Patrick O. ⚽, Joseph J. (A),
- 86', Tomkinson J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
- 89', Patrick O. ↓, Plant J. ↑,
- 90+4', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town
38.2% | Draw
28.9% | Tranmere Rovers
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Cheltenham Town - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.15) |
3.23 ↓
(3.4) |
2.86 ↓
(3.1) |
7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Tranmere will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 35.2% – 84.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3.
- Cheltenham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tranmere is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cheltenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Harmon G.
(Inactive)
King T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Stevenson B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Cheltenham Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
15.11.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Cheltenham Town
3:2
28.03.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Cheltenham Town
2:0
22.11.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:0
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
