Result
 
                    0:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.34 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 24 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 68% (198/292) | 64% (207/321) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.34 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.85 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 24 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 9 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 17 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 11 | 37 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 18 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 68% (198/292) | 64% (207/321) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 25% (17/67) | 47% (40/85) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 54% (55/102) | 61% (99/163) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 45% (10/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.72 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 21 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 18 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 53% (9/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 51 | 64 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 49 | 28 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.85 | 0.18 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.18 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Sutton W. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Quigley J. ↑, 
- 51', Mazionis J. ↓, Power D. ↑, 
- 54', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨, 
- 55', Willcox F. 🟨, 
- 60', Young L. ↓, Pell H. ↑, 
- 61', Archer E. ↓, Broom R. ↑, 
- 61', Willcox F. ↓, Harmon G. ↑, 
- 73', Mellon M. ↓, Payne K. ↑, 
- 76', 0 - 2, Hannant L. (Pen), 
- 79', Martin J. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑, 
- 84', Hannant L. ↓, Drummond K. ↑, 
- 89', Sutton W. ↓, Caprice J. ↑, 
- 90', 0 - 3, Quigley J. ⚽, 
- 90+4', Hutchinson I. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Cheltenham Town 24%
 | Draw 27.6%
 | Oldham Athletic 48.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 4.27 ↑ (2.75)
 | 3.61 ↑ (3.57)
 | 2.04 ↓ (2.36)
 | 0.1% (6.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
- Cheltenham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oldham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of away games.
- Oldham could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Oldham Athletic?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cheltenham Town has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Cheltenham Town?
                    
                    
                        
                             Oldham Athletic has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cheltenham Town                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Oldham Athletic                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
English League Two Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 | 
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 | 
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 | 
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 | 
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 | 
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 | 
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 | 
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 | 
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 | 
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 | 
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 | 
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 | 
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 | 
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 | 
| 17 | Tranmere | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 16 | 
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 | 
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 | 
| 21 | Accrington | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 13 | 
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 | 
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 | 
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 | 
      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League