Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (215/329) | 71% (281/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (215/329) | 71% (281/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (43/98) | 31% (27/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (62/115) | 58% (78/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 80 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Thomas J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45', 1 - 1, Garner J. ⚽, Woods R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hannant L. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Payne K. ⚽,
- 72', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
- 73', Woods R. 🟨,
- 74', Drummond K. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 75', Garner J. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
- 83', Quigley J. 🟨,
- 85', Hawkes J. 🟨,
- 86', Miller G. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 86', Nurse G. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
- 90+1', Caprice J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kinsella L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic 52.2% | Draw 28.3% | Cheltenham Town 19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↓ (1.82) |
3.3 ↓ (3.54) |
4.72 ↑ (4.09) |
7.5% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cheltenham Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.
- Oldham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cheltenham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cheltenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Oldham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
Hawkes J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Sherring S.
(Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Stevens J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Cheltenham Town?
Oldham Athletic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Oldham Athletic?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
20.09.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Oldham Athletic
0:3
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 52:31 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 38:22 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Swindon | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 5 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 56:31 | 25 | 51 |
| 7 | Walsall | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 37:28 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 46:39 | 7 | 45 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 44 |
| 10 | Crewe | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 46:38 | 8 | 44 |
| 11 | Barnet | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 13 | Colchester | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 42 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 38:35 | 3 | 38 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 42:49 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 26:47 | -21 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 26 |
| 21 | Barrow | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:42 | -14 | 24 |
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:47 | -24 | 23 |
| 23 | Newport | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 20 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 20:49 | -29 | 18 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League