Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 20
- Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Bolshakov K. 🟨,
- 25', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
- 32', Kirsch I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', 0 - 1, Aliev S. (Pen),
- 63', Tsaraev A. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
- 63', Gorbunov I. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
- 65', Zarypbekov E. 🟨,
- 73', Brnovic M. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
- 73', Kalmykov A. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
- 77', Aliev S. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
- 82', Rodionov I. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
- 83', Shtepa M. 🟨,
- 84', Maksimov M. 🟨,
- 84', Tarba Z. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Mirzov R. ⚽,
- 90+2', Antonov A. ↓, Pliev Z. ↑,
- 90+2', Sutugin I. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arsenal Tula
45.6% | Draw
30.3% | Chernomorets Novorossiysk
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.89) |
3.13 ↓
(3.17) |
3.94 ↓
(4.72) |
5.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- Arsenal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chernomorets has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arsenal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Arsenal Tula has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Arsenal Tula?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Tula - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
03.08.2025
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Arsenal Tula
1:2
07.03.2025
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Arsenal Tula
0:0
13.07.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:0
03.03.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
2:0
12.08.2023
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Arsenal Tula
2:1
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 39:21 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Ural | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 38 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Chelyabinsk | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | R. Volgograd | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Neftekhimik | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 34 |
| 9 | SKA Khabarovsk | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 32 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Torpedo Moscow | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 28 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Ufa | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23:53 | -30 | 16 |
| 18 | Saratov | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 10:29 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
