Result
4:1
15/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 10
- Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Nikolaev O. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Antonov A. (Pen),
- 16', Kaptilovich D. 🟨,
- 33', Tonevitskiy E. 🟨,
- 38', Ivannikov D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Kukharchuk I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Lozhkin V. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Tonevitskiy E. ⚽,
- 51', 2 - 1, Chervyakov R. ⚽,
- 57', Kaptilovich D. ↓, Rosputko O. ↑,
- 57', Gulyaev E. ↓, Ishchenko N. ↑,
- 62', Kukharchuk I. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
- 68', Biblik S. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
- 68', Ivannikov D. ↓, Markelov I. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 1, Pliev Z. ⚽,
- 75', Zhigulev I. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑,
- 75', Pomeshkin K. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
- 77', Dzhebov A. ↓, Kriushichev M. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 1, Rodionov I. ⚽,
- 85', Nikolaev O. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
61.8% | Draw
24% | Chayka Peschanokopskoye
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chayka Peschanokopskoye might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-17.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chayka Peschanokopskoye could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.81) |
3.94 ↑
(3.41) |
6.69 ↑
(4.96) |
5.7%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Chernomorets (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Peschanokopskoye (4.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 3 - 75%). Peschanokopskoye (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2.
- Chernomorets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peschanokopskoye has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Peschanokopskoye may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chernomorets is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Chayka Peschanokopskoye?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chayka Peschanokopskoye won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Chayka Peschanokopskoye has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye were as follows:
23.03.2025
Chayka Peschanokopskoye
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:2
21.07.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:2
14.05.2023
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0:1
09.11.2022
Chayka Peschanokopskoye
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:2
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Latest results of Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | Ural | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 30:19 | 11 | 41 |
| 3 | Rodina Moscow | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | Chelyabinsk | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 37:25 | 12 | 33 |
| 7 | SKA Khabarovsk | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 31 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 30:26 | 4 | 29 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 24 |
| 13 | Torpedo Moscow | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
| 16 | Ufa | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 20 |
| 17 | Saratov | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10:23 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19:47 | -28 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
