Result
 
                    1:4
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        10/11/2024 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  RUSSIA: FNL - Round 18
- Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 59% | 41% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 7 | 14 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 3 | 10 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 1', 0 - 1, Uridia M. ⚽, 
- 18', 0 - 2, Nikiforov N. ⚽, 
- 21', 1 - 2, Kenfak O. ⚽, 
- 32', 1 - 3, Nikiforov N. ⚽, 
- 36', 1 - 4, Akbashev R. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Khramtsov M. ↓, Voropaev A. ↑, 
- 46', Maryanov A. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑, 
- 46', Kulishev A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑, 
- 54', Nikiforov N. 🟨, 
- 57', Fomin D. 🟨, 
- 63', Nikiforov N. ↓, Gurchenko D. ↑, 
- 63', Krotov V. ↓, Cherov V. ↑, 
- 77', Korotaev A. ↓, Savinov A. ↑, 
- 83', Bezchasnyuk A. ↓, Antonov A. ↑, 
- 83', Uridia M. ↓, Tegues D. ↑, 
- 90+2', Petrov M. 🟨, 
- 90+2', Musalov M. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Tyumen 32%
 | Draw 29.1%
 | Chernomorets Novorossiysk 38.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyumen's performance.Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chernomorets Novorossiysk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyumen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Novorossiysk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.97 ↓ (3.96)
 | 3.26 ↓ (3.4)
 | 2.44 ↑ (2.02)
 | 5.4% (4.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8). 
- Recent matches Tyumen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
- Chernomorets is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
- Chernomorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
- Recently Tyumen have a series of home games. 
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
 
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3). 
- Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tyumen won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
                    
                    
                        
                            Tyumen has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Tyumen?
                    
                    
                        
                             Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
                                                        
                                18.08.2024 
                                Chernomorets Novorossiysk 
                                - 
                                Tyumen 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.04.2024 
                                Tyumen 
                                - 
                                Chernomorets Novorossiysk 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.10.2023 
                                Chernomorets Novorossiysk 
                                - 
                                Tyumen 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Russian FNL Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 33 | 
| 2 | Ural | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 | 
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 | 
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 27 | 
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 | 
| 6 | Kamaz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 | 
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 | 
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 | 
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 | 
| 11 | Yenisey | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 17 | 
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 17 | 
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | 
| 14 | Ufa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 | 
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 15 | 
| 16 | Saratov | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 14 | 
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 14 | 
| 18 | FK Chayka | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 11 | 
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