Tyumen vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
1:4
10/11/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: FNL - Round 18
  • Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
714
Shots on Goal
310
Shots off Goal
44
Free Kicks
144
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Uridia M. ,
  • 18', 0 - 2, Nikiforov N. ,
  • 21', 1 - 2, Kenfak O. ,
  • 32', 1 - 3, Nikiforov N. ,
  • 36', 1 - 4, Akbashev R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Khramtsov M. , Voropaev A. ,
  • 46', Maryanov A. , Mokaev I. ,
  • 46', Kulishev A. , Tkachuk D. ,
  • 54', Nikiforov N. 🟨,
  • 57', Fomin D. 🟨,
  • 63', Nikiforov N. , Gurchenko D. ,
  • 63', Krotov V. , Cherov V. ,
  • 77', Korotaev A. , Savinov A. ,
  • 83', Bezchasnyuk A. , Antonov A. ,
  • 83', Uridia M. , Tegues D. ,
  • 90+2', Petrov M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Musalov M. , Krasilnichenko O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tyumen
32%
Draw
29.1%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 28.2% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.3% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyumen's performance.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chernomorets Novorossiysk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyumen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Novorossiysk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (3.96)
    3.26
    (3.4)
    2.44
    (2.02)
    5.4%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Recent matches Tyumen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Chernomorets is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Chernomorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Tyumen have a series of home games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen 2:1
    24.04.2024 Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1
    22.10.2023 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen 0:1
    Latest results of Tyumen
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelyabinsk22004:226
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    3FK Chayka11003:033
    4Ural11001:013
    5Fakel Voronezh11001:013
    6R. Volgograd21012:203
    7Arsenal Tula20202:202
    8Chernomorets Novorossijsk10101:101
    9SKA Khabarovsk10101:101
    10Ufa10101:101
    11Rodina Moscow10101:101
    12Saratov10100:001
    13Neftekhimik10100:001
    14Shinnik Yaroslavl20111:2-11
    15Torpedo Moscow10012:3-10
    16S. Kostroma10010:1-10
    17Ulyanovsk20022:4-20
    18Yenisey10010:3-30

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