Result
1:2
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 38
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Shrimpton F. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Harris M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
30% | Draw
25.3% | Chester
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chester's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Merthyr Town - Chester Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.37) |
3.64 ↓
(3.9) |
2.06 ↓
(2.51) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Chester?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Chester (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- Recent performances by Merthyr have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chester is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Chester?
Merthyr Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chester won against Merthyr Town?
Chester has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Chester were as follows:
04.10.2025
Chester
-
Merthyr Town
2:2
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Latest results of Chester
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 39 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 94:42 | 52 | 85 |
| 2 | South Shields | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 85:36 | 49 | 84 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 66 |
| 4 | Merthyr Town | 40 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 87:73 | 14 | 66 |
| 5 | Darlington | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 71:53 | 18 | 65 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 7 | Scarborough | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55:47 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | AFC Telford | 40 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 77:54 | 23 | 60 |
| 9 | Buxton | 39 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 65:53 | 12 | 57 |
| 10 | Chester | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 58:62 | -4 | 57 |
| 11 | Radcliffe | 39 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 65:63 | 2 | 56 |
| 12 | Marine | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 55 |
| 13 | Spennymoor | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 52:63 | -11 | 54 |
| 14 | Southport | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 55:61 | -6 | 51 |
| 15 | Chorley | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 60:59 | 1 | 49 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 59:74 | -15 | 47 |
| 17 | Worksop | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 52:69 | -17 | 47 |
| 18 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 47:53 | -6 | 46 |
| 19 | Bedford | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 56:70 | -14 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 49:59 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Hereford | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 48:63 | -15 | 38 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36:67 | -31 | 37 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 43:75 | -32 | 37 |
| 24 | Leamington | 39 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28:70 | -42 | 23 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
