Chester vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League North Chester - Merthyr Town
Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Zanzala O. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', 2 - 1, Handley T. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Chester
70.6%
Draw
17.2%
Merthyr Town
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 21.5% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 20.8% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chester's performance.
  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chester that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Chester - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.47)
    6.66
    (4.28)
    9.45
    (5.77)
    -3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chester - Merthyr Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 8).
    • Chester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Merthyr has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Chester is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Chester
    27.09.2025 Chester - Curzon Ashton 5:1
    20.09.2025 Darlington - Chester 1:1
    02.09.2025 Fylde - Chester 2:2
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields1082020:41626
    2AFC Fylde1072124:121223
    3Scarborough1072119:10923
    4Spennymoor1062216:12420
    5Chorley1061322:13919
    6Radcliffe1060422:13918
    7Kidderminster1044213:11216
    8Merthyr Town1051417:18-116
    9Buxton1042415:15014
    10Hereford1042412:15-314
    11Kingu2019s Lynn1034317:12513
    12Curzon Ashton1034313:14-113
    13Marine1041511:16-513
    14Macclesfield1033413:14-112
    15Leamington1033410:13-312
    16Worksop1032512:16-411
    17Chester1025313:19-611
    18Darlington1024416:15110
    19Bedford1023514:18-49
    20AFC Telford1023513:17-49
    21Alfreton102358:19-119
    22Oxford City1021715:19-47
    23Peterborough Sports92168:19-117
    24Southport91177:16-94

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation